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28 comments
289 forecasters

Will the European Union meet its 2030 targets under the Paris Climate Treaty?

20%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.

7 comments
21 forecasters

What will be the best performance on FrontierMath by December 31st 2025?

Current estimate
56.7%
18 comments
76 forecasters

What will be the best accuracy score on the MATH dataset by 2025?

community
0.95
result
0.948
6 comments
54 forecasters

If tested, would the most powerful quesion-answering AI system as of 2022-06-01 demonstrate text-based intelligence parity with human 5th graders?

Ambiguous
77 comments
94 forecasters

If tested, would GPT-3 demonstrate text-based intelligence parity with human 4th graders?

Ambiguous
57 comments
792 forecasters

Will the "silver" Turing Test be passed by 2026?

60%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.