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Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

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A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?

result: no

8
1818 comments
124
124 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?

51% chance

6
55 comments
19
19 forecasters
51%chance

To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?

result: no

83
2424 comments
301
301 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Will the majority of leading cosmologists in 2030 agree that the evidence points to an accelerating universe?

99% chance

11
99 comments
95
95 forecasters
99%chance

Will the eventual consensus explanation of star KIC 8462852 variability be an intervening molecular cloud?

36% chance

8
1010 comments
39
39 forecasters
36%chance

To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?

result: no

27
1414 comments
132
132 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Discussion page for the Fermi Paradox question series

13
22 comments

Space Sector ‘Greenification’

10
11 comment

The ʻOumuamua Paradox and the Nature of Interstellar Objects

12
22 comments

Action Ontologies, Computer Ontologies

19
11 comment

Spacecraft Launchers and the Launcher Market

12
0 comments

Space Debris and the Kessler Syndrome

8
11 comment

The Future of Human Spaceflight

10
0 comments

Our Life Underneath a Chaotic Orbital Environment: The Relationship Between Space Debris and Space Utilization

11
0 comments

Private Citizen Space Travel: Participation, Place, and Price

8
0 comments

Take the Research Impact Challenge

0 comments