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5
comments
19
forecasters
When will the RSA-2048 challenge number be factorized by a quantum computer?
Current estimate
Sep 2035
17
comments
97
forecasters
Quantum-enhanced machine learning by 2040?
62%
chance
9
comments
6
forecasters
What will be the record for log quantum volume over the next five years?
7
comments
32
forecasters
When will a fusion reactor reach the following energy gain (Q) milestones?
00
18
comments
42
forecasters
When will it cost less than $1000 to calculate the private key of a 2048-bit RSA public key?
Current estimate
Aug 2042
4
comments
41
forecasters
Five years after AGI, will quantum gravity be solved?
19%
chance
13
comments
38
forecasters
Will a cryptocurrency be created using a quantum random number generator by 2036?
67%
chance
30
comments
42
forecasters
Will quantum effects be widely accepted as responsible for consciousness before 2075?
5%
chance
40
comments
14
forecasters
In what year will a physical object be teleported?
Current estimate
>2717
11
comments
31
forecasters
Do we live in a false vacuum?
50%
chance
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