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4 comments
7 forecasters

What will be the "state of the art" for these quantum computing metrics in March, 2028?

Single-qubit relaxation time (T1) (μs)375M
Coherence time (T2) (seconds)442
2-qubit gate infidelity1.66×10⁻⁴
5 comments
19 forecasters

When will the RSA-2048 challenge number be factorized by a quantum computer?

Current estimate
Sep 2035
17 comments
97 forecasters

Quantum-enhanced machine learning by 2040?

60%chance
9 comments
6 forecasters

What will be the record for log quantum volume over the next five years?

11 comments
31 forecasters

Do we live in a false vacuum?

50%chance
7 comments
32 forecasters

When will a fusion reactor reach the following energy gain (Q) milestones?

00
30 comments
42 forecasters

Will quantum effects be widely accepted as responsible for consciousness before 2075?

5%chance
3 comments
2 forecasters

Will Google make a "watershed" announcement about quantum computing in early December?

resultNo
18 comments
42 forecasters

When will it cost less than $1000 to calculate the private key of a 2048-bit RSA public key?

Current estimate
Sep 2045
4 comments
41 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will quantum gravity be solved?

14%chance