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5 comments
19 forecasters

When will the RSA-2048 challenge number be factorized by a quantum computer?

Current estimate
Sep 2035
17 comments
97 forecasters

Quantum-enhanced machine learning by 2040?

62%chance
9 comments
6 forecasters

What will be the record for log quantum volume over the next five years?

7 comments
32 forecasters

When will a fusion reactor reach the following energy gain (Q) milestones?

00
18 comments
42 forecasters

When will it cost less than $1000 to calculate the private key of a 2048-bit RSA public key?

Current estimate
Aug 2042
4 comments
41 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will quantum gravity be solved?

19%chance
13 comments
38 forecasters

Will a cryptocurrency be created using a quantum random number generator by 2036?

67%chance
30 comments
42 forecasters

Will quantum effects be widely accepted as responsible for consciousness before 2075?

5%chance
40 comments
14 forecasters

In what year will a physical object be teleported?

Current estimate
>2717
11 comments
31 forecasters

Do we live in a false vacuum?

50%chance