[PRACTICE] Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?1.7% chance-1288288 comments156156 forecasters1.7%chance
Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?4% chance0 comments3333 forecasters4%chance
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that there will be no civil war in a European country (that wasn't communist in 1988) by 2046?87% chance52727 comments5959 forecasters87%chance
Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?4% chance799 comments8585 forecasters4%chance
Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections?422 comments3434 forecasters
Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?0.1% chance976767 comments982982 forecasters0.1%chance