29 comments
80 forecasters
Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?
203063%
204040%
205040%
12 comments
33 forecasters
Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?
10%chance
30 comments
44 forecasters
If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?
Texas49%
California35%
Florida20%
5 comments
70 forecasters
Democracy in Crisis: how many autocrats, strongmen and dictators in 2028?
Latest estimate
48
This question is closed for forecasting.
10 comments
14 forecasters
When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?
007 comments
20 forecasters
What will be the US' score in the Freedom in the World Report for 2050?
Current estimate
78.2 points
25 comments
103 forecasters
Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?
1.5%chance