10 comments
14 forecasters
When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?
0038 comments
81 forecasters
Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?
203061%
204040%
205038%
14 comments
35 forecasters
Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?
10%chance
30 comments
45 forecasters
If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?
Texas50%
California36%
Florida20%
5 comments
70 forecasters
Democracy in Crisis: how many autocrats, strongmen and dictators in 2028?
Latest estimate
48
This question is closed for forecasting.
7 comments
21 forecasters
What will be the US' score in the Freedom in the World Report for 2050?
Current estimate
78.4 points
25 comments
102 forecasters
Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?
1%chance