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Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

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Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

6
1414 comments
137
137 forecasters

Will the Cuban government lose power before 2027?

35% chance

2
1515 comments
39
39 forecasters
35%chance

Will former U.S. Representative George Santos be arrested before September 1, 2026?

0 comments
1
1 forecaster
%chance

Will the United States attack Colombia before 2027?

3% chance

4
55 comments
64
64 forecasters
3%chance

Will Elon Musk hold major political office in the United States before February 2033?

2% chance

25
6060 comments
321
321 forecasters
2%chance

Will the United States attack Venezuela during 2026? โ†’ Will the USA invade Mexico and acknowledge that invasion before January 20, 2029?

11 comment
5
5 forecasters

Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?

7% chance

2
1515 comments
42
42 forecasters
7%chance

Will Blake Masters be President of the United States before 2070?

1% chance

2
1111 comments
84
84 forecasters
1%chance

Which anonymous administration figure authored the NYT editorial?

8
2020 comments

The Expansion of Executive War Powers

6
33 comments

Forecast International Elections With Data Journalist Kiko Llaneras

11
22 comments