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1
comment
37
forecasters
Will Nicholas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela before January 1, 2026?
9.1%
chance
2
comments
12
forecasters
Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Jeannette Jara
65%
José Antonio Kast
29%
Evelyn Matthei
5%
5 others
60
comments
318
forecasters
Will Elon Musk hold major political office in the United States before February 2033?
3%
chance
14
comments
35
forecasters
Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?
10%
chance
Forecast International Elections With Data Journalist Kiko Llaneras
11
3
3
comments
11
comments
82
forecasters
Will Blake Masters be President of the United States before 2070?
1%
chance
The Expansion of Executive War Powers
6
3
3
comments
Metaculus Journal Archives
Which anonymous administration figure authored the NYT editorial?
8
20
20
comments