Will former U.S. Representative George Santos be arrested before September 1, 2026?15.8% chance0 comments99 forecasters15.8%chance
Will Elon Musk hold major political office in the United States before February 2033?2% chance256060 comments320320 forecasters2%chance
Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?5% chance11717 comments4242 forecasters5%chance
Will the United States attack Venezuela during 2026? → Will the USA invade Mexico and acknowledge that invasion before January 20, 2029?11 comment55 forecasters
Will Blake Masters be President of the United States before 2070?0.5% chance21111 comments8282 forecasters0.5%chance