If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?198282 comments235235 forecasters
What will be the final value of the U.S. Democracy Threat Index for 2027-2028, conditional on control of Congress?0 comments2727 forecasters
Will the U.S. Congress limit presidential war powers before January 3, 2029, conditional on control of Congress?0 comments3535 forecasters
If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?113030 comments4646 forecasters
Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?6% chance21515 comments4040 forecasters6%chance
What will be the US' score in the Freedom in the World Report for 2050?75.6 points (64.4 - 84.6)977 comments2323 forecasters75.6 points (64.4 - 84.6)