82 comments
235 forecasters
If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled
3.9k comments
3.6k forecasters
Who will be elected US President in 2024?
Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Gretchen Whitmerresult: No
Pete Buttigiegresult: No
29 comments
80 forecasters
Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?
203063%
204040%
205040%
12 comments
33 forecasters
Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?
10%chance
30 comments
44 forecasters
If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?
Texas49%
California35%
Florida20%
4 comments
342 forecasters
Will the US Senate weaken or eliminate the filibuster before January 3, 2029?
19%chance
7 comments
20 forecasters
What will be the US' score in the Freedom in the World Report for 2050?
Current estimate
78.2 points
