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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

15
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U.S. Democracy Threat Index
12 comments
33 forecasters

Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?

10%chance

Predict the Impact of the 2024 US Presidential Election

10
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Forecast International Elections With Data Journalist Kiko Llaneras

11
33 comments

How I Learned to Stop Worrying and (Sort Of) Love Nuclear Forecasting

21
11 comment
Metaculus Journal Archives

Ukraine Conflict Update for Monday, 2022-03-14

13
11 comment
Ukraine Conflict

Vox Future Perfect Predictions for 2022

8
55 comments
Future Perfect 2022 Series

The Expansion of Executive War Powers

6
33 comments
Metaculus Journal Archives

Results of 2020 U.S. Election Risks Survey

0 comments

Which anonymous administration figure authored the NYT editorial?

8
2020 comments