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Contributed by the
Unjournal Forecasting
community.
0
comments
Median prob. among Unjournal experts: “If the price of the... hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% ... how many more/fewer chickens consumed globally in 2030 (+/- percent)?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 2 days
17
comments
102
forecasters
Will wheat be successfully de-allergenized by 2030?
42%
chance
35
comments
127
forecasters
Will an Alphabet company win the general category for protein structure prediction at CASP15 in 2022?
result
No
Winners of the Biosecurity Tournament Short-Term Phase
7
2
2
comments
Biosecurity Tournament
9
comments
62
forecasters
What proportion of well-known QSRs will offer a cultivated meat product in 2026?
Current estimate
0.022%
condition
2030: Synth protein fiber cheaper than nylon?
2
forecasters
if yes
if no
Synthetic protein fibers 10% of production?
Oct 2033
Synthetic protein fibers 10% of production?
Oct 2059
0
comments
2
2
forecasters
Synthetic Biology at Scale
4
comments
13
forecasters
Will alternative protein have a market share above 25% of that of meat before 2035?
1%
chance
4
comments
10
forecasters
Will there be an open-source repository of tools for alternative protein production before 2030?
50%
chance
condition
2030: open-source repo for alt-protein?
4
forecasters
if yes
if no
2035: alternative protein market share >25%?
55%
55%
2035: alternative protein market share >25%?
50%
50%
0
comments
4
4
forecasters
Synthetic Biology at Scale
Congratulation to the Winners of the Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark
9
0
comments
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