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Will alternative protein have a market share above 25% of that of meat before 2035?

1%chance

4 comments

86 forecasters

Will soybeans be successfully de-allergenized before 2030?

25%chance

2 forecasters

Synthetic Biology at Scale

4 comments

10 forecasters

Will there be an open-source repository of tools for alternative protein production before 2030?

50%chance

condition

2030: open-source repo for alt-protein?

4 forecasters

if yes

if no

2035: alternative protein market share >25%?

55%

2035: alternative protein market share >25%?

50%

0 comments

4 forecasters

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Congratulation to the Winners of the Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark

0 comments

9 comments

62 forecasters

What proportion of well-known QSRs will offer a cultivated meat product in 2026?

Current estimate

0.0369%

Will alternative protein have a market share above 25% of that of meat before 2035?

Will soybeans be successfully de-allergenized before 2030?

Winners of the Biosecurity Tournament Short-Term Phase

2030: Synth protein fiber cheaper than nylon?

Synthetic protein fibers 10% of production?

Synthetic protein fibers 10% of production?

Will there be an open-source repository of tools for alternative protein production before 2030?

2030: open-source repo for alt-protein?

2035: alternative protein market share >25%?

2035: alternative protein market share >25%?

Congratulation to the Winners of the Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark

What proportion of well-known QSRs will offer a cultivated meat product in 2026?

Winners of the Global Pulse Tournament

Winners of the Nuclear Risk Tournament

Will alternative protein have a market share above 25% of that of meat before 2035?

Will soybeans be successfully de-allergenized before 2030?

Winners of the Biosecurity Tournament Short-Term Phase

2030: Synth protein fiber cheaper than nylon?

Synthetic protein fibers 10% of production?

Synthetic protein fibers 10% of production?

Will there be an open-source repository of tools for alternative protein production before 2030?

2030: open-source repo for alt-protein?

2035: alternative protein market share >25%?

2035: alternative protein market share >25%?

Congratulation to the Winners of the Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark

What proportion of well-known QSRs will offer a cultivated meat product in 2026?

Winners of the Global Pulse Tournament

Winners of the Nuclear Risk Tournament