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US Democracy Index

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If the price of the highest-quality hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% everywhere, how many more/fewer chickens would be consumed globally in the year 2030 (as a +/- percent)?

Current estimate

0 comments

93 forecasters

How many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be approved for consumption by the FDA on July 31, 2025?

Latest estimate

2.87 animals

This question is closed for forecasting.

16 comments

68 forecasters

When will at least 5 cultivated meat products be approved for sale in the US?

Current estimate

23 Feb 2026

86 comments

255 forecasters

By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?

65%chance

0 comments

85 forecasters

Will the EU have a mandatory multi-tiered animal welfare labelling scheme in place by 2025?

10%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

10 comments

22 forecasters

Five years after AGI, how many animals will be slaughtered in factory farms?

Current estimate

97.4B billion animals

9 comments

71 forecasters

How many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be approved for consumption by the FDA on July 31, 2025?

community

6.49 animals

result

3 animals

7 comments

16 forecasters

Will the finding in Bastian et al. (2012) that meat consumption is related to the denial of minds replicate?

Study 258.3%

Study 153%

10 comments

27 forecasters

What will be the minimum price (in 2021 USD) to clone a pet dog in 2030?

Current estimate

17.9k $

22 comments

144 forecasters

Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?

resultYes