8 comments
35 forecasters
Will there be a leading AI lab with no internal safety team in the following years?
10 comments
49 forecasters
Which book will top the New York Times Hardcover Fiction list for the week of November 2, 2025?
Remain: A Supernatural Love Storyresult: Yes
Other54%
The Secret of Secrets12.5%
1 comment
18 forecasters
Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?
SMEE44%
Naura35%
Nata30%
44 comments
434 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
28%chance
Contributed by the JetBrains community.
2 comments
8 forecasters
Will any coding assistant introduce project-wide context awareness by December 15, 2025?
99%chance
0.9% this week
5 comments
40 forecasters
How many months ahead of the rest of the world will the US be in the following AI benchmarks on January 1, 2027?
RE-Bench2.34
FrontierMath2.87
Top Capabilities Benchmark3.01
10 comments
38 forecasters
Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?
≤5 nm99%
≤3 nm91%
≤2 nm50%