10 comments
49 forecasters
Which book will top the New York Times Hardcover Fiction list for the week of November 2, 2025?
Remain: A Supernatural Love Storyresult: Yes
Other54%
The Secret of Secrets12.5%
1 comment
18 forecasters
Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?
SMEE44%
Naura35%
Nata30%
2 comments
10 forecasters
How many vehicles will Tesla report producing in each of the following years?
20405.83M
20355.26M
20324.55M
44 comments
436 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
30%chance
8 comments
35 forecasters
Will there be a leading AI lab with no internal safety team in the following years?
0 comments
95 forecasters
Will a paper with an AI as an author be published at NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR before 2028?
80%chance
5% this week