10 comments
49 forecasters
Which book will top the New York Times Hardcover Fiction list for the week of November 2, 2025?
Remain: A Supernatural Love Storyresult: Yes
Other54%
The Secret of Secrets12.5%
Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.
1 comment
9 forecasters
What will be the best score on Cybench by December 31st 2025?
Current estimate
82.6%
1 comment
17 forecasters
Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?
SMEE44%
Naura35%
AMEC30%
2 comments
10 forecasters
How many vehicles will Tesla report producing in each of the following years?
20405.5M
20354.64M
20304.18M
10 comments
38 forecasters
Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?
≤5 nm99%
≤3 nm91%
≤2 nm47%
Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.
3 comments
12 forecasters
What will be the best performance on OSWorld by December 31st 2025?
Current estimate
73.1%
44 comments
433 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
28%chance