7 comments
74 forecasters
What will be total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world in the listed years?
44 comments
432 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
27%chance
51 comments
173 forecasters
When will an original, wholly AI-generated feature film rank #1 on a popular streaming service?
Current estimate
27 Aug 2029
14 comments
95 forecasters
Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?
Google DeepMind20%
Microsoft4%
xAI3%
24 comments
91 forecasters
What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years?
Contributed by the JetBrains community.
2 comments
7 forecasters
Will any coding assistant introduce project-wide context awareness by December 15, 2025?
99.9%chance
0.9% this week