17 comments
19 forecasters
What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?
RSV3.52
Flu9.66
COVID-193.53
0 comments
83 forecasters
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
Latest estimate
77.2 cases
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
109 forecasters
Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?
14%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
15 comments
16 forecasters
What proportions of influenza A subtype sequences will CDC report during the 2025-2026 season?
H3N281.8
H1N120.4
H5<0.1
0 comments
107 forecasters
Will an H5 virus receive an "emergence" risk rating categorized as "high" by the US CDC Influenza Risk Assessment Tool before January 1, 2026?
10%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.
0 comments
12 forecasters
Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of High or higher on CBRN?
15%chance
10% this week
0 comments
88 forecasters
What will be CDC’s highest assessment of the risk posed by H5 bird flu to the US general public before January 1, 2026?
Low78.1%
Moderate (or medium or equivalent)18.8%
High (or above, such as Very High)3.1%
This question is closed for forecasting.