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📈Market Pulse Q2 Winners: Evidence of Edge

4
66 comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q2

Winners of the 2023 Phase of the Forecasting Our World in Data Tournament

4
55 comments
Forecasting Our World in Data
7 comments
37 forecasters

Slate Star Codex Survey Mini-Series: Are SSRIs Self-Rated More Effective for Depression Than Anxiety?

resultNo

Contributed by the JetBrains community.

0 comments
5 forecasters

According to the 2024 Developer Ecosystem Survey:

What percentage of time will developers spend on code reviews in 2025?48.4
What will the percentage of developers not using AI in testing be in 2025?24.3
What percentage of developers will feel completely secure in their job in 202511.2
4 comments
15 forecasters

In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to cause prioritization?

Current estimate
17.4%

Champions of Conditional Forecasting

5
11 comment
Conditional Cup

Full Bridgewater Forecasting Contest Leaderboards

0 comments

How "Scope Sensitive" are o1-preview and GPT4o's forecasts? Not very.

4
33 comments
0 comments
18 forecasters

In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to animal welfare?

Current estimate
12.2%

Q3 AI Benchmarking: Did Bots Outperform Human Forecasters?

12
1313 comments