Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.
Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.
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107 forecasters
At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?
35%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
9 comments
40 forecasters
At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments?
Mark Zuckerbergresult: No
Sundar Pichairesult: No
Sam Altmanresult: No
9 comments
80 forecasters
Five years after AGI, will there be universal basic income?
20%chance
10% this week
Key Factors