26 comments
42 forecasters
Five years after AGI, will AI philosophical competence be solved?
11%chance
22% this week
169 comments
243 forecasters
Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?
Futurama29.5%
AI-Dystopia25.6%
Singularia19.2%
7 comments
35 forecasters
Will there be a leading AI lab with no internal safety team in the following years?
20 comments
286 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
22%chance
2 comments
52 forecasters
Will an AI system be reported to have successfully blackmailed someone for >$1000 by EOY 2028?
80%chance
7 comments
91 forecasters
What type of research group will develop the first transformative AI?
For-profit80%
Government20%
Non-profit5%