7 comments
93 forecasters
What type of research group will develop the first transformative AI?
For-profit80%
Government20%
Non-profit5%
1 comment
20 forecasters
How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards AI risk reduction in 2030?
Current estimate
142M $
100 comments
451 forecasters
Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?
50%chance
169 comments
245 forecasters
Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?
Futurama31.1%
AI-Dystopia23.6%
Singularia19.3%