0 comments
89 forecasters
How many of the top 50 Effective Altruism Forum users by karma as of June 2021 will be active in 2026?
Latest estimate
33.4 users
This question is closed for forecasting.
4 comments
14 forecasters
How many of the top 50 Effective Altruism Forum users by karma as of June 2021 will be active in 2026?
Current estimate
46.7 users
7 comments
95 forecasters
What type of research group will develop the first transformative AI?
For-profit83%
Government20%
Non-profit5%
1 comment
20 forecasters
How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards AI risk reduction in 2030?
Current estimate
157M $
46 comments
79 forecasters
Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?
30%chance