• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
7 comments
4 forecasters

When will a space-based data center first become operational?

Current estimate
Revealed in 17 hours

Key Factors

84 comments
628 forecasters

Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?

40%chance
1 comment
25 forecasters

What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?

Conventional90.2%
Air-breathing2.1%
Thermal rockets1.2%
1 comment
16 forecasters

Will an international organization release a report estimating that space-based technologies have contributed to a 5% or greater increase in agricultural yields in any country before 2031?

65%chance

Sagan Space Commenting Prize Winners

7
55 comments
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰

Orbital Allies: How Space Technology Fuels Sustainable Development and Climate Action

9
11 comment
Space Technology & Climate
5 comments
8 forecasters

How much total space based solar PV (in GW) will be installed by the following years?

43 comments
66 forecasters

Which country will be the first to administer more territory off Earth than on it?

United States55%
China35%
Israel10%

Private Citizen Space Travel: Participation, Place, and Price

8
0 comments
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰

Our Life Underneath a Chaotic Orbital Environment: The Relationship Between Space Debris and Space Utilization

11
0 comments
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰