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War of Attrition: Updated Endgame Forecasts for the Ukraine-Russia Conflict

16
6 comments6
Metaculus Journal Archives

Contributed by the Odborný Predikční Tým community.

If there is a violent attack by an individual in the EU with 50 or more victims in the next 5 years, how likely is it that they will be followers of the ideology:

Islámský extremismus55.5%
Pravicový extremismus34.5%
Levicový a anarchistický extremismus5%
and 1 other

Ukraine Conflict Update for Monday, 2022-03-14

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1 comment1
Ukraine Conflict

What's the Endgame of the War in Ukraine?

21
12 comments12
Metaculus Journal Archives

900+ Forecasters on Whether Russia Will Invade Ukraine

no comments0

Ukraine Conflict Update for Wednesday, 2022-03-09

6
no comments0
Ukraine Conflict

Ukraine Conflict Update for Friday, 2022-03-18

12
2 comments2
Ukraine Conflict

Ukraine Conflict Update for 2022-4-5

12
3 comments3
Ukraine Conflict

Predicting Russia's Failure

3
14 comments14
Metaculus Journal Archives

Which countries will invoke Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if it's invoked before 2040?

PolandAmbiguous
LatviaAmbiguous
LithuaniaAmbiguous
and 9 others