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Another Year of AI Benchmarking: The Plan

10
no comments0
Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Forecast the Minimum Wage in Colombia: $1,000 Prize Pool

2
2 comments2
Colombia Wage Watch

Platform feature suggestions

112
3030 comments3030
Metaculus Meta

What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

Key Factor

amount of participating bots affects outcomes

82.5%

Key Factor

amount of participating bots affects outcomes

Introducing Comments of the Week

14
20 comments20

Will the community prediction be higher than 98.00% on 2025-08-25 for the Metaculus question 'Will OpenAI surpass 15 million business users before 2030?'?

resultYes

Join Foresight’s AI Pathways Tournament: $5,000 Comment Prize

8
1 comment1
AI Pathways Tournament

By the start of the 2028–2029 school year, will a majority of the 20 largest US public school districts be actively using an AI-powered tutoring system for a core subject?

30%chance
20% this week

Questions & Support Thread

4
2 comments2
City of Gulf Breeze Forecasting Contest

Before 2032, will a G7 central bank or finance ministry credit an AI forecasting system as a key reason for a major preemptive policy action to avert a potential economic crisis or instability?

30%chance
10% this week