0 comments
101 forecasters
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
2%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
95 forecasters
How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?
Latest estimate
40.7M birds
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
83 forecasters
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
Latest estimate
77.2 cases
This question is closed for forecasting.
2 comments
4 forecasters
Will a Russian-developed LLM reach the top 100 on LMSYS Chatbot Arena before 2027?
21%chance
0 comments
97 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 16.00% on 2025-11-07 for the Metaculus question "Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2026?"?
32%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
10 comments
69 forecasters
Who will win the FIDE Chess World Cup 2025?
Someone else46.4%
Arjun Erigaisi12.8%
R Praggnanandhaa11.8%
