How many clinicaltrials.gov studies with an LLM-based Chatbot as the intervention/treatment will be recruiting on August 1, 2026 ?0 comments134134 forecasters
What will be the nationwide wastewater detection category of Norovirus on August 1, 2026?0 comments136136 forecasters
Will either Mpox clade 1b or West Nile Virus be detected in U.S. wastewater on August 1, 2026?65% chance0 comments143143 forecasters65%chance
Which lab will have the highest score on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index on August 31, 2026?0 comments129129 forecasters
Will France have more than one confirmed case of Ebola on September 1, 2026?15% chance0 comments143143 forecasters15%chance
Will the CDC raise the Travel Health Notice status of Colombia to above level 2 before September 1, 2026?12% chance0 comments131131 forecasters12%chance
Will a bot beat all humans in the Summer 2026 Metaculus Cup?38% chance0 comments132132 forecasters38%chance
Will a bot beat all humans in the Summer 2026 Metaculus Cup?15% chance99 comments9090 forecasters15%chance
In the InfoGripe bulletin published on or immediately before June 25, 2026, which respiratory virus will be the single most prevalent among positive SRAG cases nationally over the most recent 4-week window?11 comment8787 forecasters
When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?Feb 2046 (Aug 2034 - 2087)104040 comments118118 forecastersFeb 2046 (Aug 2034 - 2087)
Will the Community beat Dylan Matthews in the Metaculus Cup Summer 2026?60% chance0 comments106106 forecasters60%chance
How many cumulative confirmed Ebola cases will the DRC report by July 10, 2026 in the 2026 Bundibugyo virus outbreak?1741 value (1561 - 1955)0 comments107107 forecasters1741 value (1561 - 1955)
Will Metaculus announce a new public tournament or forecasting series with a displayed prize pool of at least $20,000 before September 1, 2026?60% chance0 comments105105 forecasters60%chance
How many public predictions will Metaculus have on September 1, 2026?4.22M predictions (4.12M - 4.33M)0 comments100100 forecasters4.22M predictions (4.12M - 4.33M)
Which country's team will score the most points at the 2026 International Mathematical Olympiad?0 comments103103 forecasters
Will the Community beat Dylan Matthews in the Metaculus Cup Summer 2026?99% chance2323 comments102102 forecasters99%chance