12 comments
82 forecasters
Who will win the FIDE Chess World Cup 2025?
Someone else73.8%
Arjun Erigaisi20.1%
Wei Yi5.4%
0 comments
101 forecasters
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
2%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
84 forecasters
How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?
Latest estimate
108k deaths
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
95 forecasters
How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?
Latest estimate
40.7M birds
This question is closed for forecasting.
14 comments
16 forecasters
What proportions of influenza A subtype sequences will CDC report during the 2025-2026 season?
H3N278
H1N126.4
H5<0.1
26 comments
66 forecasters
What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?
Current estimate
0.841 °C
Key Factors
97 comments
97 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 16.00% on 2025-11-07 for the Metaculus question "Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2026?"?
resultNo
