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What will be the total retail sales of plant-based meat and seafood in 2026?

6.85B $ (6.54B - 7.13B)

1

16

16 forecasters

6.85B $

(6.54B - 7.13B)

Will there be a 50% decline in global meat production by 2040?

10% chance

17

122

122 forecasters

10%chance

How many additional US states will enact bans on cultivated meat before July 2027?

1

51

51 forecasters

Before 2030, will the European Union require commercially farmed fish to be stunned before being slaughtered?

29% chance

11

58

58 forecasters

29%chance

What percentage of fish produced worldwide will be stunned prior to slaughter, in the first year in which credible estimates are published in the five year period starting in 2027

5.9% (3.5 - 8.88)

3

29

29 forecasters

5.9%

(3.5 - 8.88)

Will a new cultivated meat product receive regulatory approval for commercial sale before July 2027?

result: yes

1

61

61 forecasters

ResolvedYes

What will the lowest retail price, in USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat be, in the calendar year 2029?

33.4 USD/kg (12.8 - 62.6)

7

35

35 forecasters

33.4 USD/kg

(12.8 - 62.6)

Forecasting the Future of Animals: $3,400 in prizes

9

What will be Mexico's forecasted meat consumption for 2027?

10.9k 1000 MT CWE (10.7k - 11.1k)

1

49

49 forecasters

10.9k 1000 MT CWE

(10.7k - 11.1k)

What will India's total meat production per capita be during 2026-2027?

7.83 kg per capita (7.71 - 7.97)

1

46

46 forecasters

7.83 kg per capita

(7.71 - 7.97)

What proportion of global fish production will be from aquaculture in 2040?

63% (58.1 - 71)

1

48

48 forecasters

63%

(58.1 - 71)

How many metric tons of ≥20% cultured meat will be sold from 2020 to 2050?

11

31

31 forecasters

Will FURA introduce another cultivated meat dish on its menu before July 2027?

40% chance

46

46 forecasters

40%chance

Will plant-based meat and seafood reach 10% of US retail packaged meat dollar sales before 2031?

3% chance

1

56

56 forecasters

3%chance

A decrease in US meat production by 2025?

result: no

23

171

171 forecasters

ResolvedNo

How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is greater than $20 per kg?

33.1 million cattle (29.2 - 37.1)

7

38

38 forecasters

33.1 million cattle

(29.2 - 37.1)

Will there be a Vegan Country by 2100?

22% chance

26

344

344 forecasters

22%chance

When will a restaurant first serve clean-meat products containing ≥80% clean meat, at $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?

06 Jul 2027 (14 Mar 2026 - 24 May 2029)

6

46

46 forecasters

06 Jul 2027

(14 Mar 2026 - 24 May 2029)

When will the first precision-bred organism be commercially authorised in the UK?

27 Feb 2028 (09 Mar 2027 - 03 Jul 2029)

10

10 forecasters

27 Feb 2028

(09 Mar 2027 - 03 Jul 2029)

Will lab-grown complex vital organs be used successfully in humans before 2035?

80% chance

42

86

86 forecasters

80%chance

What will be the average production cost per kg of cell-cultured chicken cell biomass at the end of the following years (between 2026-2051) across all large-scale plants in the world?

1

1 forecaster

When will a protein fiber spinning process be developed that works at industrial scale and is competitive with synthetic fibers for commercial use?

2031 (2028 - 2034)

1

1 forecaster

2031

(2028 - 2034)