How many additional US states will enact bans on cultivated meat before July 2027?10 comments3737 forecasters
Will a new cultivated meat product receive regulatory approval for commercial sale before July 2027?78.9% chance11111 comments5252 forecasters78.9%chance
Will plant-based meat and seafood reach 10% of US retail packaged meat dollar sales before 2031?7% chance10 comments4545 forecasters7%chance
What will India's total meat production per capita be during 2026-2027?7.76 kg per capita (7.62 - 7.91)111 comment3737 forecasters7.76 kg per capita (7.62 - 7.91)
What will be Mexico's forecasted meat consumption for 2027?10.9k 1000 MT CWE (10.6k - 11.1k)111 comment3838 forecasters10.9k 1000 MT CWE (10.6k - 11.1k)
What proportion of global fish production will be from aquaculture in 2040?62.7% (56.1 - 71.2)10 comments3636 forecasters62.7% (56.1 - 71.2)
How many chickens will be slaughtered for meat globally in the following years?121010 comments8181 forecasters
Will FURA introduce another cultivated meat dish on its menu before July 2027?45% chance0 comments3737 forecasters45%chance
By 2030, will there be a synthetic protein fiber costing less than nylon?2.2% chance211 comment1212 forecasters2.2%chance
Will an incumbent traditional animal protein company take out a full-page ad that criticises plant-based, or cultivated meat, in either the NYT, WSJ or WaPo by 2023?54% chance91313 comments8282 forecastersAmbiguous
How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is between $8 and $20 per kg?30.8 million (26.4 - 35.1)677 comments3636 forecasters30.8 million (26.4 - 35.1)
How much revenue will the U.S. market for clean meat generate, in the fiscal year 2027, in 2019 USD?2441 million USD (1034 - 4499)611 comment2929 forecasters2441 million USD (1034 - 4499)
When will the first precision-bred organism be commercially authorised in the UK?15 Jul 2028 (09 May 2027 - 14 May 2029)44 comments1010 forecasters15 Jul 2028 (09 May 2027 - 14 May 2029)
Will there be a 50% decline in global meat production by 2040?12% chance172828 comments121121 forecasters12%chance
Will alternative protein have a market share above 25% of that of meat before 2035?4.5% chance244 comments1313 forecasters4.5%chance
What will be the average production cost per kg of cell-cultured chicken cell biomass at the end of the following years (between 2026-2051) across all large-scale plants in the world?11 comment11 forecaster
Will the finding in Bastian et al. (2012) that meat consumption is related to the denial of minds replicate?677 comments1616 forecasters
How many billions of poultry will be slaughtered worldwide, in the calendar year 2030, according to FAO estimates?102 billion poultry (97.5 - 110)51212 comments4646 forecasters102 billion poultry (97.5 - 110)
When will a protein fiber spinning process be developed that works at industrial scale and is competitive with synthetic fibers for commercial use?2031 (2028 - 2034)11 comment11 forecaster2031 (2028 - 2034)
Does $100k to fund plant-based hamburger R&D have a greater animal welfare benefit than $100k to corporate animal welfare campaigns for chickens?41.5% chance0 comments11 forecaster41.5%chance