Question Feed | Metaculus

Will there be a 50% decline in global meat production by 2040?

10% chance

121

10%chance

A decrease in US meat production by 2025?

33% chance

171

33%chance

How many chickens will be slaughtered for meat globally in the following years?

How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is between $8 and $20 per kg?

31.2 million (27 - 35.7)

31.2 million

(27 - 35.7)

What will be the largest cultivated meat production capacity, in metric tons per year, of a single facility by January 1, 2030?

7713 metric tons/year (2003 - 20.2k)

7713 metric tons/year

(2003 - 20.2k)

How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is greater than $20 per kg?

32.7 million cattle (28.5 - 36.9)

32.7 million cattle

(28.5 - 36.9)

What will the lowest retail price, in USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat be, in the calendar year 2029?

24.3 USD/kg (9.25 - 51.3)

24.3 USD/kg

(9.25 - 51.3)

When will a restaurant first serve clean-meat products containing ≥80% clean meat, at $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?

16 Apr 2027 (07 Oct 2025 - 25 Jun 2029)

16 Apr 2027

(07 Oct 2025 - 25 Jun 2029)

When will a supermarket sell a product made of ≥20% clean meat, for $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?

17 Dec 2025 (11 Dec 2023 - 22 Apr 2028)

17 Dec 2025

(11 Dec 2023 - 22 Apr 2028)

When will a supermarket sell a product made of ≥80% clean meat, for $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?

26 Jun 2030 (02 Aug 2026 - >Sep 2036)

26 Jun 2030

(02 Aug 2026 - >Sep 2036)

When will a restaurant first serve clean-meat products containing ≥20% clean meat, at $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?

29 Jun 2024 (04 Nov 2022 - 29 Sep 2026)

29 Jun 2024

(04 Nov 2022 - 29 Sep 2026)

How much revenue will the U.S. market for clean meat generate, in the fiscal year 2030, in millions of USD?

3575 M USD (1115 - 13.2k)

3575 M USD

(1115 - 13.2k)

When will there be a publicly listed clean meat company?

16 Jun 2022 (24 Aug 2021 - 23 May 2023)

16 Jun 2022

(24 Aug 2021 - 23 May 2023)

Will there be a 50% decline in global meat production by 2040?

A decrease in US meat production by 2025?

How many chickens will be slaughtered for meat globally in the following years?

How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is between $8 and $20 per kg?

What will be the largest cultivated meat production capacity, in metric tons per year, of a single facility by January 1, 2030?

How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is greater than $20 per kg?

What will the lowest retail price, in USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat be, in the calendar year 2029?

When will a restaurant first serve clean-meat products containing ≥80% clean meat, at $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?

When will a supermarket sell a product made of ≥20% clean meat, for $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?

When will a supermarket sell a product made of ≥80% clean meat, for $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?

When will a restaurant first serve clean-meat products containing ≥20% clean meat, at $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?

How much revenue will the U.S. market for clean meat generate, in the fiscal year 2030, in millions of USD?

When will there be a publicly listed clean meat company?

Animal Welfare Series: clean meat

Forecasting the Future of Alt-Meat: A Metaculus Prediction Party

Religious dietary restrictions and alt-meat

Announcing the Cultured Meat Tournament

Will there be a 50% decline in global meat production by 2040?

A decrease in US meat production by 2025?

How many chickens will be slaughtered for meat globally in the following years?

How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is between $8 and $20 per kg?

What will be the largest cultivated meat production capacity, in metric tons per year, of a single facility by January 1, 2030?

How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is greater than $20 per kg?

What will the lowest retail price, in USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat be, in the calendar year 2029?

When will a restaurant first serve clean-meat products containing ≥80% clean meat, at $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?

When will a supermarket sell a product made of ≥20% clean meat, for $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?

When will a supermarket sell a product made of ≥80% clean meat, for $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?

When will a restaurant first serve clean-meat products containing ≥20% clean meat, at $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?

How much revenue will the U.S. market for clean meat generate, in the fiscal year 2030, in millions of USD?

When will there be a publicly listed clean meat company?

Animal Welfare Series: clean meat

Forecasting the Future of Alt-Meat: A Metaculus Prediction Party

Religious dietary restrictions and alt-meat

Announcing the Cultured Meat Tournament