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Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

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Will the US, UK, China, or any of the countries in the EU enact a universal basic income before 2030?

5% chance

15
1717 comments
68
68 forecasters
5%chance

When will the US federal minimum wage be raised?

>20 Jan 2029 (02 Sep 2028 - >20 Jan 2029)

8
1919 comments
73
73 forecasters
>20 Jan 2029
(02 Sep 2028 - >20 Jan 2029)

Will the federal minimum wage increase in the United States before 2025?

result: no

28
5353 comments
228
228 forecasters
ResolvedNo

What will be the percentage increase for the minimum wage in Colombia for 2026?

11.1% (9.77 - 13.1)

6
1313 comments
145
145 forecasters
11.1%
(9.77 - 13.1)

If the federal minimum wage is greater than $10 and less than $15, what will the average employment-to-population ratio be in 2025?

59.5 (58.8 - 60.2)

5
11 comment
18
18 forecasters
59.5
(58.8 - 60.2)

If Joe Biden becomes president, what will the federal minimum wage be at the end of 2024?

7.36 (7.16 - 7.76)

17
3232 comments
125
125 forecasters
7.36
(7.16 - 7.76)

When will most eggs produced in the USA be sexed before hatching?

Oct 2031 (05 Oct 2028 - Nov 2035)

10
1313 comments
36
36 forecasters
Oct 2031
(05 Oct 2028 - Nov 2035)

When will a country adopt Universal Basic Income?

Jan 2035 (28 Mar 2027 - Mar 2045)

26
5858 comments
62
62 forecasters
Jan 2035
(28 Mar 2027 - Mar 2045)

Forecast the Minimum Wage in Colombia: $1,000 Prize Pool

5
55 comments

Winners of the Colombia Wage Watch Tournament

6
0 comments