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How many Clade I Mpox cases will have been reported in the US before 2027?

39 cases (30 - 51)

15

15 forecasters

39 cases

(30 - 51)

Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?

result: yes

27

143

143 forecasters

ResolvedYes

Will the US CDC recommend use of a smallpox/monkeypox vaccine for at least 10% of the US population, before 2023?

result: no

17

102

102 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?

19

19 forecasters

How many human infections of monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?

104k (80.3k - 160k)

37

218

218 forecasters

104k

(80.3k - 160k)

What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in the United States as of July 1, 2022?

376 (322 - 440)

13

69

69 forecasters

376

(322 - 440)

How many states in the United States will report having a case of monkeypox as of July 1, 2022?

28.1 (27 - 29.5)

14

90

90 forecasters

28.1

(27 - 29.5)

What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Europe as of July 1, 2022?

4419 (3821 - 5202)

14

74

74 forecasters

4419

(3821 - 5202)

Will WHO Disease Outbreak News publish a new mpox-related item before May 1, 2026?

result: no

108 108 comments

109

109 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Will the US confirm Clade I mpox infections before October 1, 2024?

result: no

27

27 forecasters

ResolvedNo

What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in the United States as of August 31, 2022?

19.3k (18.3k - 20.5k)

12

72

72 forecasters

19.3k

(18.3k - 20.5k)

What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in the United States as of December 31, 2022?

31.2k (27.4k - 35.3k)

6

30

30 forecasters

31.2k

(27.4k - 35.3k)

What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in New York as of August 31, 2022?

3404 (3271 - 3592)

4

33

33 forecasters

3404

(3271 - 3592)

Will the CDC confirm a case of Clade I mpox in a US resident before August 23, 2024?

result: no

4

39

39 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Will the CDC confirm a case of Clade I mpox in a US resident before August 23, 2024?

result: no

32

32 forecasters

ResolvedNo

What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Canada as of July 1, 2022?

310 (271 - 365)

8

52

52 forecasters

310

(271 - 365)

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

12

45

45 forecasters

Before 2023, will the US CDC recommend the general use of the monkeypox vaccine for all men who have sex with men in the US?

result: no

10

45

45 forecasters

ResolvedNo

What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in the United States as of August 31, 2022?

>30k (28.5k - >30k)

10

11

11 forecasters

>30k

(28.5k - >30k)

How many deaths due to monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?

272 (186 - 432)

16

86

86 forecasters

272

(186 - 432)

What will be the worldwide 7-day rolling average of confirmed mpox cases for June 30, 2023?

8.15 (6.23 - 10.8)

1

36

36 forecasters

8.15

(6.23 - 10.8)

What will be the total number of reported monkeypox cases in New York as of December 31, 2022?

4404 (4010 - 4865)

1

24

24 forecasters

4404

(4010 - 4865)

What percentage of monkeypox cases in the UK will be among gay, bisexual, or men who have sex with men?

96 (93.1 - 97.7)

6

44

44 forecasters

96

(93.1 - 97.7)

What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in California as of August 31, 2022?

3437 (3302 - 3612)

6

32

32 forecasters

3437

(3302 - 3612)