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Will a case of Bundibugyo Ebola disease be first confirmed in the US before July 2027?

7% chance

1

15

15 forecasters

7%chance

How many Clade I Mpox cases will have been reported in the US before 2027?

67 cases (56 - 78)

16

16 forecasters

67 cases

(56 - 78)

How many deaths due to monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?

272 (186 - 432)

16

86

86 forecasters

Resolved282

Respiratory Outlook July Update: Screwworm continues US spread as Ebola outbreak surges in DRC

4

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

12

45

45 forecasters

How many confirmed mpox cases for the following years (2025+)?

1

4

4 forecasters

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

result: no

5

48

48 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?

19

19 forecasters

Countries confirm Clade I mpox? (United States) → HHS mpox public health emergency--Oct 1 2024?

2

12

12 forecasters

Will Russia confirm Clade I mpox infections before October 1, 2024?

result: no

31

31 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Will Japan confirm Clade I mpox infections before October 1, 2024?

result: no

31

31 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Will Mexico confirm Clade I mpox infections before October 1, 2024?

result: no

32

32 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Will the CDC's assessment of the risk posed by mpox to the US general public exceed "Low" before October 1, 2024?

result: no

28

28 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Will the CDC's assessment of the risk posed by mpox to the US general public exceed "Moderate" before October 1, 2024?

result: no

29

29 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Will the CDC's assessment of the risk posed by mpox to the US general public exceed "High" before October 1, 2024?

result: no

29

29 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Will the US confirm Clade I mpox infections before October 1, 2024?

result: no

27

27 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Will Zambia confirm Clade I mpox infections before October 1, 2024?

result: no

29

29 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Will Angola confirm Clade I mpox infections before October 1, 2024?

result: no

29

29 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Will the Secretary of the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for mpox (monkeypox) before October 1, 2024?

result: no

34

34 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Will the Secretary of the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for mpox (monkeypox) before October 1, 2024?

result: no

3

35

35 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Will the CDC's assessment of the risk posed by mpox to the US general public exceed "Very Low" before October 1, 2024?

result: yes

28

28 forecasters

ResolvedYes

Will the CDC confirm a case of Clade I mpox in a US resident before August 23, 2024?

result: no

32

32 forecasters

ResolvedNo