Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🔭
Bridgewater 2025
🤖
AI Benchmarking
📖
ACX 2025
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Self-driving car to beat a self-driving truck in making the first cross-USA trip?
Closed
60%
75 forecasters
13
11 comments
11
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic nomination?
Resolved :
No
1%
230 forecasters
28
35 comments
35
When will a country adopt Universal Basic Income?
Closed
2035-01-16
62 forecasters
26
58 comments
58
Will Yang get 200k donors or more in the 2024 US presidential race?
Resolved :
No
15%
68 forecasters
1
20 comments
20
Will Andrew Yang run for mayor of New York in 2021?
Resolved :
Yes
99%
99 forecasters
11
49 comments
49
What proportion of last-round votes will Andrew Yang get in the 2021 New York mayoral primary election?
Resolved :
0
0.0242
63 forecasters
6
44 comments
44
Will Andrew Yang win the 2021 New York City mayoral election?
Resolved :
No
10%
370 forecasters
52
115 comments
115
When will a 1M-population country adopt Universal Basic Income?
2036-02-29
73 forecasters
13
9 comments
9
Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?
1.5%
101 forecasters
12
25 comments
25
When will 5 states have ranked-choice voting for their US senators?
2031-01-19
23 forecasters
12
13 comments
13
Load More