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If Biden has the majority of pledged delegates, but does not survive until the nominee is chosen, will Sanders become the nominee?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
17%
143 forecasters
10
43 comments
43
Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Kamala Harris
Yes
Joe Biden
No
Gavin Newsom
No
13 others
62
584 comments
584
condition
2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee? (Joe Biden)
Resolved :
No
121 forecasters
if yes
if no
Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
17%
17%
Resolved :
Annulled
Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
50%
50%
Resolved :
No
25
7 comments
7
Conditional Cup
condition
2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee (Joe Biden)
Resolved :
No
36 forecasters
if yes
if no
GOP Control of US Senate in 2025
75%
75%
Resolved :
Annulled
GOP Control of US Senate in 2025
68%
68%
Resolved :
Yes
4
no comments
0
Conditional Cup