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Will elective abortion be banned nationally in the United States before 2030?
20%
308 forecasters
21
48 comments
48
Will AOC be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024, 2028, or 2032?
8%
174 forecasters
17
29 comments
29
Which party will win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies in the next Italian election?
Brothers of Italy
68%
Democratic Party
21%
Lega
10.4%
6 others
1
3 comments
3
Will Kamala Harris be president before inauguration day 2025?
2%
458 forecasters
53
76 comments
76
Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?
12.7%
144 forecasters
15
22 comments
22
Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025?
4%
51 forecasters
10
8 comments
8
Regulation of AI
Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?
Resolved :
Yes
462 forecasters
33
36 comments
36
Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?
Resolved :
Yes
53 forecasters
11
13 comments
13
Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?
Resolved :
No
63 forecasters
5
9 comments
9
Metaknowledge Experiment Part B: What is the Metaculus community's prediction about Bernie Sanders?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
53 forecasters
6 comments
6
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