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How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Biosecurity and Pandemic Preparedness in 2025?

1

Future Effective Altruism Resources Series

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

150 forecasters

13

Ragnarök Series

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to naturally occuring pandemics?

9

What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

10

By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?

Resolved :No54%

27

Playing God Series

Will the world population grow every year from 2016 to 2025 (inclusive)?

1474 forecasters

321

By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?

Resolved :Yes75%

6

Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?

Resolved :No32%

5

Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?

Resolved :Yes80%

219 forecasters

15