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Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Romania?
Marcel Ciolacu
No
Mircea Geoană
No
George Simion
No
4 others
3
18 comments
18
2024 International Elections Hub
Will any member of NATO call for Hungary to be expelled before 2025?
1%
30 forecasters
1
1 comment
1
Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
8%
66 forecasters
14
21 comments
21
Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?
20%
72 forecasters
8
12 comments
12
Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?
10%
356 forecasters
37
25 comments
25
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
condition
Khamenei Out as Leader of Iran in 2024?
27 forecasters
if yes
if no
US Iran War Before 2025?
1%
1%
US Iran War Before 2025?
1%
1%
3
no comments
0
Conditional Cup
Will there be a China-Russia war by 2035?
1%
224 forecasters
18
52 comments
52
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
How many members will NATO have on December 31, 2025?
32
104 forecasters
9
20 comments
20
Will the United States remain a NATO member continuously until January 1, 2029?
97%
78 forecasters
17
14 comments
14
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Russia will not invade a NATO member by June 10, 2040?
77%
45 forecasters
3
1 comment
1
The Bryan Caplan Collection
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