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When will Kim Jong Un no longer be the leader of North Korea?
Sep 2044
29 forecasters
7
3 comments
3
How many United Nations Security Council Resolutions concerning Syria will be vetoed by Russia between 22 April 2018 and 22 August 2018?
Resolved :
0
0.136
64 forecasters
2
1 comment
1
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
Will a nuclear device with a yield above 1kt be detonated anywhere on Earth in 2019?
Resolved :
No
31%
47 forecasters
5
10 comments
10
Will North Korea launch an intercontinental ballistic missile in 2019?
Resolved :
No
20%
85 forecasters
12
18 comments
18
Will Russia invade or annex all or part of Belarus before 2022?
Resolved :
No
11%
173 forecasters
29
28 comments
28
Will there be a major nuclear or radiological accident before January 1, 2022?
Resolved :
No
7%
129 forecasters
19
13 comments
13
Will Iran execute or be targeted in a national military attack between 6 June 2019 and 5 October 2019?
Resolved :
Yes
38%
75 forecasters
15
41 comments
41
Will the Chinese police or military intervene in Hong Kong in September 2019?
Resolved :
No
5%
82 forecasters
15
19 comments
19
Will the Chinese police or military intervene in Hong Kong in 2019?
Resolved :
No
1%
69 forecasters
13
11 comments
11
Will North Korea launch an intercontinental ballistic missile in 2020?
Resolved :
No
8%
195 forecasters
21
47 comments
47
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