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What will the space traveler fatality rate due to spacecraft anomalies be in the 2020's?

6

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

5

Will China reach 1,000 nuclear warheads by 2030?

11

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?

Resolved :No60%

130 forecasters

47

Will the Trump Adminstration succeed in creating a "Space Force" before the 2020 presidential election?

Resolved :Yes94%

199 forecasters

15

[short-fuse] By 2022, will the US Senate confirm Biden's nominees for Treasury Secretary, Secretary of State, Defense Secretary, and Attorney General?

Resolved :Yes99%

5

Future Perfect 2021 Series

Will U.S. military troops still be in Afghanistan on 2021-05-01?

Resolved :Yes82%

14

Intersections between nuclear risk and AI

5

Nuclear Risk Tournament

Where is the AGI Roadmap?

5

AI Progress Essay Contest

How many people will fly to space for the first time in the 2020's?

8