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Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

296 forecasters

41

Biosecurity Tournament

Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025?

174 forecasters

13

Biosecurity Tournament

Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?

199 forecasters

16

Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?

215 forecasters

8

By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?

6

All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?

103 forecasters

3

Will the current Ebola outbreak be contained to under 50 cases?

10

Pandemic Series (2018)

Will the latest Ebola outbreak be stopped before it claims a hundred lives?

4

Will the current Ebola outbreak be stopped before it claims 400 lives?

9

Will the current Ebola outbreak claim more than 1000 lives?

4