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When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

Key Factor

China starts a war with Taiwan

Key Factor

China starts a war with Taiwan

When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?

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call girls in pune

Key Factor

call girls in pune

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?

Will AI successfully act on the instruction, “Go make $1 million on a retail web platform in a few months with just a $100,000 investment,” before January 1, 2030?

When will AI first be revealed to be superhuman at the board game Diplomacy?

⚕️Primum Non Nocere: A Physician’s Perspective on AI in Medicine

10

Metaculus Journal Archives

At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments?

Mark Zuckerbergresult: No

Sundar Pichairesult: No

Sam Altmanresult: No

When will GPT-5 be available to the general public?