Tournaments
Help the global community model, understand, and navigate the world’s most important and complex challenges.
Prove your forecasting abilities, support effective policy and decision-making, and win cash prizes.
Learn how tournaments are scored.
Reach out to discuss launching a tournament on what’s important to you.
Active Tournaments
RAND x Metaculus Policy Challenge
$10,000 Prize Pool
Closes Dec 31, 2025
21 Questions
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q4
$7,500 Prize Pool
Closes Jan 1, 2026
31 Questions
Metaculus Cup Fall 2025
$5,000 Prize Pool
Closes Jan 1, 2026
35 Questions
Fall 2025 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
$50,000 Prize Pool
Closes Jan 6, 2026
364 Questions
Colombia Wage Watch
$1,000 Prize Pool
Closes Dec 31, 2025
1 Question
AI Pathways Tournament
$5,000 Prize Pool
Closes Jan 1, 2031
20 Questions
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
Closes Dec 31, 2026
25 Questions
Fiscal Showdown 2025
$5,000 Prize Pool
Closes Jan 1, 2026
19 Questions
POTUS Predictions
$15,000 Prize Pool
Closes Jan 3, 2029
41 Questions
Kiko Llaneras Tournament 🔮
$5,000 Prize Pool
Closes Dec 31, 2025
Bright Line Watch
$2,500 Prize Pool
Closes Jan 1, 2026
ACX 2025 Prediction Contest
$10,000 Prize Pool
Closes Dec 31, 2025
33 Questions
Question Series
AI and Geopolitics: Resources, Predictions, and Mental Models
5 Questions
MiniBench
$1,000 Prize Pool
56 Questions
Research Agencies Outlook
12 Questions
Metaculus Learning Academy
68 Questions
Fundamental Development Gap Map
5 Questions
Current Events⚡
40 Questions
Iran-Israel Conflict
19 Questions
AI 2027
19 Questions
Forecasting the Big Beautiful Bill
17 Questions
USAID Outlook
17 Questions
Forecast With GiveWell
13 Questions
🗽Forecast the State of the Union 🗽
32 Questions
