How large will the largest cluster used to train an AI model be, by the end of the following years?

Will Fathom Radiant ship a commercial product before 2026?

When will an ML model achieve 90% of human-crowd performance on Autocast?

Will Facebook decide to make the weights of the 175B parameter model publicly available before 2023?

Will the weights of the 175B parameter model be made publicly available via a leak or hack by 2023?

What will be the total aggregate score given to Russia by Freedom House in 2023?

Will Peter Daszak be the president of EcoHealth Alliance on January 1, 2024?

What will the largest Common Crawl be, in TiB, by 2032?

How many FLOPS will be used to train GPT-4 (if it is released)?

How much better will the Metaculus Prediction be on continuous questions be, relative to the Community Prediction, over the 365-day period following its next update?

How much better will the Metaculus Prediction be on binary questions be, relative to the Community Prediction, over the 365-day period following its next update?

This question is closed for forecasting.

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due "other risks"?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to naturally occuring pandemics?