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TomL
Predictions
326
Comments
232
Member Since
March 2020
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by TomL
0 comments
29 forecasters
Kerch Bridge knocked-out before 2024? → Crimea-Russia Land Bridge Severed by 2024?
0 comments
10 forecasters
Human/Machine Intelligence Parity by 2040? → Date 1M-population country adopts UBI
This question is closed for forecasting.
1 comment
21 forecasters
What will be the value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in December 2022?
community
59.2
result
59.7
14 comments
Updates on the Beginner Tournament Series
5 comments
54 forecasters
What will the price of ETH be on Dec 2, 2022 at noon EST?
community
1271
result
1278.17
5 comments
46 forecasters
Will the Buffalo Bills win their NFL football game on Thanksgiving?
result
Yes
22 comments
35 forecasters
Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022?
Haiti
result:
No
El Salvador
result:
No
Nicaragua
result:
No
Honduras
result:
No
2 others
4 comments
23 forecasters
Asia Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022?
Bangladesh
result:
No
Pakistan
result:
No
Papua New Guinea
result:
No
Lao PDR
result:
No
5 others
32 comments
60 forecasters
Economic Trouble: Will a country’s currency depreciate 15% or more in the second half of 2022?
Argentine Peso $
result:
Yes
Russian Ruble ₽
result:
Yes
Egyptian Pound £E
result:
Yes
Turkish Lira ₺
result:
No
13 others
6 comments
24 forecasters
Horizon Scan: How many people will be forcibly displaced in these countries in 2022?
Sudan
result:
4.476311M
Azerbaijan
result:
706.532k
Sri Lanka
result:
171.791k
Haiti
result:
208.282k
3 others
11 comments
29 forecasters
West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022?
Benin
result:
No
Ghana
result:
No
Togo
result:
No
Côte d'Ivoire
result:
No
7 others
41 comments
544 forecasters
Will Russia recognize Transnistria as a sovereign country by December 31, 2022?
result
No
31 comments
360 forecasters
How many US troops will be in Europe on June 30, 2022?
community
102k
result
100k
42 comments
653 forecasters
Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by March 31, 2022?
result
No
138 comments
1.2k forecasters
Will Russia invade any country other than Ukraine in 2022?
result
No
8 comments
New state Flu trajectories are now available
107 comments
616 forecasters
Will there be a military conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 2023?
result
No
48 comments
417 forecasters
Will 2022 be the hottest year on record?
result
No
42 comments
348 forecasters
Will Omicron be the most dominant sequenced strain of SARS-CoV-2 on December 31, 2022?
result
Yes
9 comments
105 forecasters
How many COVID-19 vaccine shots will be administered in the US by Dec 31, 2022?
community
667M
result
663.822575M
37 comments
192 forecasters
What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the US on December 31, 2022?
community
1.09M
result
1.088M
25 comments
137 forecasters
How many COVID-19 vaccine shots will be administered globally by December 31, 2022?
community
13.3B
result
13.09369878B
25 comments
137 forecasters
What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths globally by December 31, 2022?
community
6.78M
result
6.672352M
18 comments
130 forecasters
What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 cases globally on December 31, 2022?
community
657M
result
656.398M
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