Tournaments
Metaculus Cup Summer 2026Rank: #5 out of 881
Metaculus Cup Spring 2026Rank: #10 out of 1260
Metaculus Cup Fall 2025Rank: #5 out of 637
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest 2025Rank: #11 out of 3214
ACX 2025 Prediction ContestRank: #12 out of 2988
Future PerfectRank: #23 out of 3064
ACX 2023 Prediction ContestRank: #4 out of 1352
🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆Rank: #7 out of 838
Conditional CupRank: #4 out of 352
Nuclear Risk TournamentRank: #7 out of 669
Metaculus Cup Summer 2025Rank: #8 out of 594
Forecasting Our World in DataRank: #7 out of 312
🏆 Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup 🏆Rank: #11 out of 620
📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰Rank: #12 out of 905
🏆 Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆Rank: #18 out of 1002
Bridgewater x Metaculus 2026Rank: #32 out of 2869
ACX 2024 Prediction ContestRank: #61 out of 1340
Real-Time Pandemic Decision MakingRank: #4 out of 137
China and Global CooperationRank: #19 out of 731
🏆 Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆Rank: #26 out of 756
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25Rank: #10 out of 477
🏆 Q4 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆Rank: #15 out of 373
Biosecurity Tournament Short-TermRank: #7 out of 277
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24Rank: #9 out of 212
Peer Accuracy
Baseline Accuracy
Question Writing