99.657 | Will civil war break out in Israel before 2024? | Binary |
99.592 | Who will win Ecuador’s 2023 presidential election? (Christian Zurita) | Binary |
99.195 | Kerch Bridge knocked-out before 2024? (No) → Crimea-Russia Land Bridge Severed by 2024? | Binary |
99.165 | Will Western institutions determine Israel was responsible for the attack on the Al-Ahli Baptist Hospital in Gaza City before 2024? | Binary |
99.058 | Will the United States default on its sovereign debt before 2024? | Binary |
98.864 | Will Ukraine control Armiansk before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
98.789 | Will F-22 or F-35 fighter jets be pledged to Ukraine by January 1, 2024? | Binary |
98.443 | Russian Coup or Regime Change before 2024? (No) → Crimea-Russia Land Bridge Severed by 2024? | Binary |
98.349 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of the Tokmak railway station on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
97.282 | Will there be a military conflict between Serbia and Kosovo before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
95.805 | Will the Wagner Group control a part of Moscow by July 1, 2023? | Binary |
95.773 | Who will win Ecuador’s 2023 presidential election? (Otto Sonnenholzner) | Binary |
95.773 | Who will win Ecuador’s 2023 presidential election? (Xavier Hervas) | Binary |
95.773 | Who will win Ecuador’s 2023 presidential election? (Bolívar Armijos) | Binary |
95.639 | Who will win Ecuador’s 2023 presidential election? (Yaku Pérez Guartambel) | Binary |
94.940 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2024) | Binary |
94.860 | Who will win Ecuador’s 2023 presidential election? (Jan Topić) | Binary |
94.628 | Will a majority of voters approve Venezuela's referendum on incorporating Guayana Esequiba into Venezuela? | Binary |
93.507 | Will Ukraine be confirmed to have used chemical weapons against Russian forces by January 1, 2024? | Binary |
92.298 | Will Russia assume the presidency of the UN Security Council on April 1, 2023? | Binary |
89.229 | Will the United States default on its sovereign debt before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
87.713 | Wagner Group Controls Moscow by July 1, 2023? (No) → Ukraine Controls DNR/LNR on Jan 1, 2024 | Binary |
87.323 | Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before April 15th, 2023? | Binary |
81.879 | Will Mohamed Bazoum, Nigerien President, return to power before August 31, 2023? | Binary |
77.730 | Will Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg engage in a cage fight at any point before 2024? | Binary |
75.007 | Will the Black Sea grain deal be revived before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
74.356 | Will Ukraine retake Polohy by the 1st of October, 2023? | Binary |
72.289 | Will ECOWAS intervene militarily in Niger before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
70.011 | Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner present herself as a candidate for an elective office in the 2023 Argentine national elections? | Binary |
67.879 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu) | Binary |
67.699 | Will there be a US military combat death in the Red Sea before 2024? | Binary |
67.689 | Who will win the 2023 Argentine presidential election? (Juan Schiaretti) | Binary |
67.689 | Who will win the 2023 Argentine presidential election? (Myriam Bregman) | Binary |
66.346 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Meral Akşener) | Binary |
66.346 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Devlet Bahçeli) | Binary |
66.346 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Tansu Çiller) | Binary |
66.346 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Doğu Perinçek) | Binary |
66.346 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Ali Babacan) | Binary |
66.346 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Cem Uzan) | Binary |
66.345 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Muharrem İnce) | Binary |
66.345 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Sinan Oğan) | Binary |
66.345 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Ahmet Davutoğlu) | Binary |
66.345 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Pervin Buldan) | Binary |
66.345 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Abdullah Gül) | Binary |
66.345 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Mustafa Sarıgül) | Binary |
66.344 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Süleyman Soylu) | Binary |
66.344 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Fatih Erbakan) | Binary |
66.344 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Temel Karamollaoğlu) | Binary |
66.344 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Gültekin Uysal) | Binary |
66.246 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Recep Tayyip Erdoğan) | Binary |
65.899 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Ekrem İmamoğlu) | Binary |
65.899 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Mansur Yavaş) | Binary |
62.249 | Will the agreement between the Kremlin and the Wagner Group hold through the end of June? | Binary |
60.897 | Will AI be a Time Person of the Year in 2023? | Binary |
57.142 | Will Ukraine regain control of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
56.683 | Will NATO Article 5 action be taken before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
49.897 | Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of May 2023? | Binary |
49.819 | Will Russia invade Kazakhstan before 2024? | Binary |
49.719 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of the city council building in Melitopol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
48.816 | Will there be a major conflict involving an external actor in Transnistria before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
48.104 | Will Donald Trump spend at least one hour confined in a jail cell before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
46.351 | Will India's Chandrayaan-3 mission successfully land a rover on the moon? | Binary |
43.997 | Will Stepanakert / Khankendi be under de facto Azerbaijani control on September 30, 2023? | Binary |
41.808 | Will a NATO country commit to sending at least one F-16 fighter jet to Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
40.100 | Will Israel still be rated "Free" in the Freedom in the World 2024 Report (covering the year 2023)? | Binary |
39.746 | Who will win the 2023 Argentine presidential election? (Patricia Bullrich) | Binary |
38.678 | Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Australia) | Binary |
37.990 | Will the Ukrainian parliamentary elections be held on schedule on or before 29 October, 2023? | Binary |
37.222 | Will Luisa González receive the most votes in the first round of the Ecuadorian election? | Binary |
33.608 | Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Colombia) | Binary |
31.442 | Will Xi Jinping speak with Volodymyr Zelensky before April 1, 2023? | Binary |
30.935 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of the city council building in Mariupol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
29.991 | Will Israeli forces reach the Palestinian Legislative Council building in Gaza before the listed dates? (January 1, 2024) | Binary |
29.639 | Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before these dates? (2024) | Binary |
27.905 | Will Abdel Fattah al-Burhan be removed from power in Sudan before June 15, 2023? | Binary |
26.802 | Will the Chandrayaan-3 lander soft-land on the moon? | Binary |
26.185 | Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (England) | Binary |
26.163 | Will a US warship enter the Black Sea before September 25, 2023? | Binary |
26.102 | Will Kevin McCarthy be Speaker of the House on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
24.115 | Will an additional country ban ChatGPT before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
23.340 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2023 Spanish Congress of Deputies election? (Podemos) | Binary |
23.339 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2023 Spanish Congress of Deputies election? (Vox) | Binary |
22.851 | Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
22.721 | Will OpenAI limit interactions with GPT-4 on ChatGPT due to model misbehavior before the end of May 2023? | Binary |
21.938 | Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Japan) | Binary |
21.671 | Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Morocco) | Binary |
19.163 | Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Sweden) | Binary |
18.483 | Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Nigeria) | Binary |
18.105 | Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Denmark) | Binary |
17.410 | Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (France) | Binary |
17.221 | Will Israel launch a large-scale ground offensive into Gaza before November 1, 2023? | Binary |
15.849 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2023 Spanish Congress of Deputies election? (People's Party (PP)) | Binary |
15.849 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2023 Spanish Congress of Deputies election? (PSOE) | Binary |
14.702 | Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (South Africa) | Binary |
14.550 | Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Netherlands) | Binary |
12.670 | Will Ukraine receive a modern main battle tank from a NATO country by 2024? | Binary |
12.431 | Will Samsung make Bing the default search provider on Galaxy phones before October 1st, 2023? | Binary |
9.900 | Will India request that another Canadian diplomat be recalled before 2024? | Binary |
9.613 | Will the second Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
9.444 | What percentage of the vote will presidential candidate candidate Javier Milei receive in Argentina's upcoming Open Primaries Elections? | Continuous |
8.972 | Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Jamaica) | Binary |
8.913 | Will Yahya Sinwar cease to act as Hamas Chief in the Gaza Strip before 2024? | Binary |
8.257 | Will internationally recognized media outlets report that a significant Ukrainian military counteroffensive has begun before June 21, 2023? | Binary |
7.969 | Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of September 2023? | Binary |
7.372 | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin be confirmed to be dead before November 2023? | Binary |
6.524 | Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (South Korea) | Binary |
5.183 | Will Israel carry out and explicitly acknowledge a deadly attack on Iran before 2024? | Binary |
3.870 | Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Italy) | Binary |
3.674 | Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Argentina) | Binary |
3.662 | Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Brazil) | Binary |
1.512 | Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (United States) | Binary |
1.072 | Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Haiti) | Binary |
1.064 | Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (China) | Binary |
0.565 | Will Israeli forces reach the Palestinian Legislative Council building in Gaza before the listed dates? (November 7, 2023) | Binary |
0.443 | Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Portugal) | Binary |
0.186 | Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Norway) | Binary |
0.154 | Will Russian troops reach the center of Bakhmut, Ukraine before 0000 hrs local time on January 27th, 2023? | Binary |
-0.726 | Will the US Congress approve additional aid for Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
-1.978 | Who will win Ecuador’s 2023 presidential election? (Luisa González) | Binary |
-12.908 | Who will win Ecuador’s 2023 presidential election? (Daniel Noboa Azín) | Binary |
-16.201 | Will Hamas lose control of Gaza before 2024? | Binary |
-18.502 | Will a major shipping company announce that they are resuming shipments through the Red Sea before 2024? | Binary |
-27.706 | Who will win the 2023 Argentine presidential election? (Sergio Massa) | Binary |
-32.698 | Will Ding Liren win the 2023 World Chess Championship? | Binary |
-47.097 | What percentage of the vote will Javier Milei receive in Argentina's upcoming Presidential Elections’ runoff? | Continuous |
-69.375 | Who will win the 2023 Argentine presidential election? (Javier Milei) | Binary |
-90.865 | Who will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup? (Spain) | Binary |