94.923 | Will civil war break out in Israel before 2024? | Binary |
94.564 | Will Ukraine be confirmed to have used chemical weapons against Russian forces by January 1, 2024? | Binary |
92.437 | Will the United States default on its sovereign debt before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
85.858 | Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before April 15th, 2023? | Binary |
84.041 | Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of H5N1 before 2024? | Binary |
81.836 | Will copper prices reach an all-time-high in 2023? | Binary |
81.198 | Will Deutsche Bank collapse (or be rescued) before June 2023? | Binary |
79.533 | Will at least one mink farm worker die from any strain of bird flu in 2023? | Binary |
77.199 | Will the Wagner Group control a part of Moscow by July 1, 2023? | Binary |
74.742 | Will Samsung make Bing the default search provider on Galaxy phones before October 1st, 2023? | Binary |
71.578 | Will Israel carry out and explicitly acknowledge a deadly attack on Iran before 2024? | Binary |
67.975 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2024) | Binary |
67.725 | Will AI be a Time Person of the Year in 2023? | Binary |
65.282 | What will be the search engine market share of Bing in December of 2023? | Continuous |
64.208 | Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of May 2023? | Binary |
63.895 | Will Russia substantially damage or destroy a Patriot Missile Battery in Ukraine before July, 2023? | Binary |
63.184 | Will the Black Sea grain deal be revived before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
59.104 | Will Putin attend the G20 summit in India? | Binary |
58.756 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Sinan Oğan) | Binary |
58.743 | Will an additional country ban ChatGPT before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
58.413 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Ahmet Davutoğlu) | Binary |
58.328 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Ali Babacan) | Binary |
58.327 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Gültekin Uysal) | Binary |
58.285 | Will OpenAI open-source GPT-3 before 2024? | Binary |
58.074 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Ekrem İmamoğlu) | Binary |
58.074 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Mansur Yavaş) | Binary |
58.073 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Cem Uzan) | Binary |
58.071 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Muharrem İnce) | Binary |
58.069 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Mustafa Sarıgül) | Binary |
58.069 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Meral Akşener) | Binary |
56.276 | Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2024? | Binary |
51.883 | Will a bill be introduced in the Indian Parliament to change the official name of the country to Bharat before September 23, 2023? | Binary |
51.664 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Devlet Bahçeli) | Binary |
51.664 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Tansu Çiller) | Binary |
51.664 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Doğu Perinçek) | Binary |
51.663 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Temel Karamollaoğlu) | Binary |
51.663 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Süleyman Soylu) | Binary |
51.663 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Abdullah Gül) | Binary |
51.663 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Fatih Erbakan) | Binary |
51.663 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Pervin Buldan) | Binary |
49.186 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Andy Biggs (R)) | Binary |
49.179 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Nancy Mace (R)) | Binary |
48.913 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Elise Stefanik (R)) | Binary |
48.903 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Jim Banks (R)) | Binary |
48.039 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Hakeem Jeffries (D)) | Binary |
47.751 | Will Yevgeny Prigozhin be the functional leader of the Wagner Group on June 30, 2023? | Binary |
47.744 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
44.612 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Fred Upton (R)) | Binary |
44.612 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Byron Donalds (R)) | Binary |
44.612 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Don Bacon (R)) | Binary |
44.612 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Kevin Hern (R)) | Binary |
44.610 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Patrick McHenry (R)) | Binary |
43.765 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Tom Emmer (R)) | Binary |
43.698 | Will a NATO country commit to sending at least one F-16 fighter jet to Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
43.334 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Byron Donalds (R)) | Binary |
42.011 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Kevin McCarthy (R)) | Binary |
41.414 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Jim Jordan (R)) | Binary |
41.406 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Jim Banks (R)) | Binary |
41.402 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Andy Biggs (R)) | Binary |
41.396 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Elise Stefanik (R)) | Binary |
41.152 | Will the UK Labour Party have a polling lead of at least 10% on 1 January 2024? | Binary |
38.261 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Hakeem Jeffries (D)) | Binary |
36.031 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Steve Scalise (R)) | Binary |
34.126 | Will ECOWAS intervene militarily in Niger before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
32.203 | Will the agreement between the Kremlin and the Wagner Group hold through the end of June? | Binary |
29.009 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Patrick McHenry (R)) | Binary |
28.401 | Will the US FDA authorize a new vaccine targeting COVID-19 in 2023? | Binary |
25.976 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Jim Jordan (R)) | Binary |
24.060 | [Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal? (Steve Scalise (R)) | Binary |
20.407 | [Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (Kevin McCarthy (R)) | Binary |
15.900 | Will the Conservatives hold on to their seat in the Mid Bedfordshire by-election? | Binary |
15.493 | Will OpenAI report having ≥99.9% uptime for ChatGPT in June 2023? | Binary |
13.915 | Will Yahya Sinwar cease to act as Hamas Chief in the Gaza Strip before 2024? | Binary |
13.767 | Will Hamas lose control of Gaza before 2024? | Binary |
12.129 | Will Ukraine receive a modern main battle tank from a NATO country by 2024? | Binary |
6.408 | Will any additional Republican candidates for president drop out before 2024? | Binary |
5.739 | Will Russia station at least one nuclear weapon in Belarus before 2024? | Binary |
4.636 | Will Virgin Galactic have a successful commercial flight before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
0.772 | Will Trump lose in the E. Jean Carroll sexual assault case? | Binary |
-1.616 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Recep Tayyip Erdoğan) | Binary |
-5.261 | Will Estonia legalize gay marriage in 2023? | Binary |
-7.437 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu) | Binary |
-16.659 | Will Israel launch a large-scale ground offensive into Gaza before November 1, 2023? | Binary |
-17.333 | Will Sweden's Loreen win the Eurovision Song Contest 2023? | Binary |
-101.880 | Will Ukraine regain control of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant before January 1, 2024? | Binary |