96.601 | Will the United States default on its sovereign debt before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
95.951 | Will civil war break out in Israel before 2024? | Binary |
93.972 | Will a US warship enter the Black Sea before September 25, 2023? | Binary |
92.529 | Will there be at least 10,000 confirmed deaths due to H5N1 before 2024? | Binary |
91.213 | Will the Wagner Group control a part of Moscow by July 1, 2023? | Binary |
85.109 | Will Tesla's market cap be greater than $1 trillion before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
82.933 | Will WHO declare H5N1 a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2024? | Binary |
81.964 | Will Ukraine control Armiansk before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
81.192 | Will General Sergei Surovikin be stripped of his command by July 11th? | Binary |
69.415 | Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of H5N1 before 2024? | Binary |
62.954 | Will the agreement between the Kremlin and the Wagner Group hold through the end of June? | Binary |
62.334 | Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of May 2023? | Binary |
60.793 | Will the United States default on its sovereign debt before 2024? | Binary |
55.451 | Will Russia invade Kazakhstan before 2024? | Binary |
47.502 | Before July 1, 2023, will an agentized-LLM system improve itself? | Binary |
47.411 | How many countries will have approved the R21/Matrix-M malaria vaccine on June 30, 2023? | Continuous |
47.372 | Will there be a US financial crisis before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
28.838 | Will Abdel Fattah al-Burhan be removed from power in Sudan before June 15, 2023? | Binary |
26.486 | Will FDA approval of mifepristone for abortion no longer be in effect for any period of time before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
25.835 | Will Kevin McCarthy be Speaker of the House on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
25.022 | Will a NATO country commit to sending at least one F-16 fighter jet to Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
21.956 | [Short Fuse] Will the total credit extended through all Fed liquidity facilities exceed $500 billion for any week before May 2023? | Binary |
17.811 | Will internationally recognized media outlets report that a significant Ukrainian military counteroffensive has begun before June 21, 2023? | Binary |
17.301 | Will the KBW Bank Index record at least a 33% drop from January 3, 2023 levels before May 1, 2023? | Binary |
12.709 | Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
12.481 | Will the statutory debt limit be increased or suspended for at least 30 days in the United States before 2024? | Binary |
12.296 | When will the U.S. end the public health emergency for COVID-19? | Continuous |
8.659 | Short Fuse: Will the 'Titan' submersible be recovered intact by noon ET on Thursday, June 22? | Binary |
7.891 | Will Ukraine receive a modern main battle tank from a NATO country by 2024? | Binary |
5.221 | Will the Black Sea grain deal be extended before July 19, 2023? | Binary |
4.423 | Will Virgin Orbit file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? | Binary |
3.452 | Will countries commit at least 100 US/German-made modern main battle tanks to Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
3.446 | Will Russia station at least one nuclear weapon in Belarus before 2024? | Binary |
0.477 | Will First Republic Bank enter FDIC receivership or be sold "under duress" before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
0.028 | Will Trump lose in the E. Jean Carroll sexual assault case? | Binary |
-19.179 | Will AI be a Time Person of the Year in 2023? | Binary |
-38.521 | Will the Dow Jones close at or above 35,000 before August 1, 2023? | Binary |
-74.451 | Will US sovereign debt be downgraded in 2023? | Binary |