| 82.498 | How much foreign aid will the US provide Ukraine in 2022? | Continuous |
| 48.611 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2023? | Binary |
| 44.528 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 35.507 | What proportion of NATO member states, excluding the USA, will increase their real 2023 defense spending by at least 25 % compared to 2022? | Continuous |
| 34.608 | How many recently active Russian flag officers will emigrate from the Russia-aligned sphere before 2024? | Continuous |
| 31.194 | Will Georgia impose sanctions against Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 27.714 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (50,000) | Binary |
| 25.906 | How many Internally Displaced Ukrainians will be estimated by the UN in 2022? | Continuous |
| 24.175 | Will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territories other than LNR, DNR, or Crimea on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 17.655 | On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Zaporizhzhia? | Binary |
| 16.299 | Will Holden's Bet with Zvi about Omicron resolve ambiguously? | Binary |
| 16.139 | Will Finland join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 15.729 | Will Vladimir Putin be the president of the Russian Federation on February 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 15.526 | When will Ukraine regain control of the city of Kherson? | Continuous |
| 13.941 | What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023? (UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE < 3%) | Binary |
| 12.725 | What percentage of Russian GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
| 12.610 | By 2024, will Vladimir Putin be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court in connection to the Russian invasion of Ukraine? | Binary |
| 11.973 | Will Ukraine join the European Union before 2024? | Binary |
| 11.297 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 10.382 | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 9.937 | Will Russia be the world's most sanctioned country on February 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 8.810 | How many Ukrainian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
| 8.541 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Sevastopol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 8.333 | Will there be more than 4 deaths between Russia and NATO forces outside of Ukraine before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 7.167 | Will Kim Jong-un remain the de facto leader of North Korea until (at least) January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 5.710 | Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council by 2024? | Binary |
| 5.108 | Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024? | Binary |
| 4.446 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
| 4.344 | Will any member of NATO call for Hungary to be expelled before 2024? | Binary |
| 4.270 | Will Holden win his Bet with Zvi about Omicron, conditional on one of them winning? | Binary |
| 3.338 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join the EU before 2024? | Binary |
| 3.110 | Will Ukraine have a security guarantee from another country before 2024? | Binary |
| 3.042 | Will Medvedchuk become president of Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 1.495 | Will Ukraine officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory as independent before 2024? | Binary |
| 1.428 | Will a coup or regime change take place in Russia in 2022 or 2023? | Binary |
| 0.769 | If Russia invades Ukraine, will +1,000 Russian soldiers be killed by Ukrainian forces in 2022 and 2023? | Binary |
| 0.742 | Will at least 5 million refugees from Ukraine seek assistance from other countries? | Binary |
| 0.177 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Rishi Sunak) | Binary |
| 0.083 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Penny Mourdant) | Binary |
| 0.063 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Jeremy Hunt) | Binary |
| 0.061 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Boris Johnson) | Binary |
| 0.030 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Ben Wallace) | Binary |
| 0.017 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Grant Shapps) | Binary |
| 0.016 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Suella Braverman) | Binary |
| 0.013 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Theresa May) | Binary |
| -1.003 | Will a major nuclear power plant in Germany be operational on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
| -1.316 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of at least 90% of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -2.206 | What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023? (UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%) | Binary |
| -9.236 | What percentage of US GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
| -10.181 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2022, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| -10.728 | What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023? (UR < 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%) | Binary |
| -15.125 | What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023? (UR < 4.5%, core PCE < 3%) | Binary |
| -21.387 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join NATO before 2024? | Binary |