62.871 | How much foreign aid will the US provide Ukraine in 2022? | Continuous |
57.644 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2022, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
42.037 | What proportion of NATO member states, excluding the USA, will increase their real 2023 defense spending by at least 25 % compared to 2022? | Continuous |
41.602 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (50,000) | Binary |
41.247 | By 2024, will Vladimir Putin be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court in connection to the Russian invasion of Ukraine? | Binary |
36.244 | Will China reverse its decision to ban financial institutions from trading and engaging in cryptocurrency transactions before 2024? | Binary |
32.829 | What percentage of Russian GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
31.347 | How many recently active Russian flag officers will emigrate from the Russia-aligned sphere before 2024? | Continuous |
25.531 | Will China reverse its ban on bitcoin mining and trading before 2024? | Binary |
24.031 | Will Finland join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
23.972 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
18.969 | Will Russia be the world's most sanctioned country on February 22, 2023? | Binary |
18.957 | Will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territories other than LNR, DNR, or Crimea on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
16.487 | Will Georgia impose sanctions against Russia before 2024? | Binary |
15.015 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2023? | Binary |
14.598 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
14.285 | Will Ukraine join the European Union before 2024? | Binary |
13.414 | When will Ukraine regain control of the city of Kherson? | Continuous |
13.057 | Will Ukraine officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory as independent before 2024? | Binary |
12.129 | How many Ukrainian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
9.858 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Sevastopol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
9.631 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of at least 90% of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
8.226 | What percentage of US GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
8.050 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join the EU before 2024? | Binary |
5.303 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
5.110 | Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024? | Binary |
4.444 | Will Ukraine have a security guarantee from another country before 2024? | Binary |
4.316 | Will Israel impose sanctions on Russia before 2024? | Binary |
4.079 | Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council by 2024? | Binary |
3.693 | Will at least 5 million refugees from Ukraine seek assistance from other countries? | Binary |
3.604 | Will Medvedchuk become president of Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
2.708 | Will any member of NATO call for Hungary to be expelled before 2024? | Binary |
1.872 | Will Turkey declare sanctions on Russia before 2024? | Binary |
-0.271 | Will Vladimir Putin be the president of the Russian Federation on February 1, 2023? | Binary |
-1.238 | If Russia invades Ukraine, will +1,000 Russian soldiers be killed by Ukrainian forces in 2022 and 2023? | Binary |
-3.893 | How many Internally Displaced Ukrainians will be estimated by the UN in 2022? | Continuous |
-7.946 | Will a coup or regime change take place in Russia in 2022 or 2023? | Binary |
-21.070 | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
-42.653 | Will a major nuclear power plant in Germany be operational on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
-82.268 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2024? | Binary |