| 24.852 | What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (Nov-23) | Continuous |
| 22.561 | In 2023 will a successful deepfake attempt causing real damage make the front page of a major news source? | Binary |
| 14.055 | Will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territories other than LNR, DNR, or Crimea on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 12.522 | Will COVID kill at least 50% as many people in 2023 as it did in 2022? | Binary |
| 11.867 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 10.077 | On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Zaporizhzhia? | Binary |
| 9.953 | Will China have approved cultivated meat for human consumption by 2024? | Binary |
| 9.909 | In 2023, will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit? | Binary |
| 8.437 | Will the US supply Ukraine with an Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS)? | Continuous |
| 7.732 | What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (Oct-23) | Continuous |
| 7.422 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 7.261 | Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2023? | Binary |
| 6.292 | When will US or NATO forces conduct military operations in Ukraine or Ukraine's occupied regions? | Continuous |
| 6.252 | In 2023 will a cultured meat product be available in at least one US store or restaurant for less than $30? | Binary |
| 6.130 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of at least 90% of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 6.117 | Will Ukraine regain control of at least 50 km^2 of the Crimean Peninsula? | Continuous |
| 6.034 | In 2023 will a nuclear weapon be detonated (including tests and accidents)? | Binary |
| 5.337 | Will a coup or regime change take place in Russia in 2022 or 2023? | Binary |
| 4.925 | Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 4.181 | On January 1, 2024, will Elon Musk remain owner of Twitter? | Binary |
| 4.125 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Joe Biden is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 3.979 | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 3.882 | Will a mainstream voice assistant use freeform dialog based on a large language model before end of 2023? | Binary |
| 3.609 | On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Luhansk? | Binary |
| 3.414 | Will a radiological "dirty bomb" be detonated in Ukraine or Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 3.276 | On January 1, 2024, will there be a lasting cease-fire in the Russia-Ukraine war? | Binary |
| 2.995 | In 2023 will Ali Khameini cease to be Supreme Leader of Iran? | Binary |
| 2.703 | What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (Sep-23) | Continuous |
| 2.597 | On January 1, 2024, will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia? | Binary |
| 2.511 | What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (May-23) | Continuous |
| 2.503 | Will Ukraine officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory as independent before 2024? | Binary |
| 2.442 | In 2023 will any other war have more casualties than Russia-Ukraine? | Binary |
| 2.403 | Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2024? | Binary |
| 2.334 | What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (Jul-23) | Continuous |
| 2.224 | Depending on Ukraine striking targets in Russian territory, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (Ukraine strikes) | Binary |
| 2.223 | Will Ukraine join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 2.113 | In 2023 will AI win a programming competition? | Binary |
| 1.974 | Will China reverse its decision to ban financial institutions from trading and engaging in cryptocurrency transactions before 2024? | Binary |
| 1.934 | Depending on the US supplying Ukraine with an ATACMS, Will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (ATACMS provided) | Binary |
| 1.733 | Will China get involved in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict by 2024? | Binary |
| 1.507 | Will China reverse its ban on bitcoin mining and trading before 2024? | Binary |
| 1.369 | On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Sevastopol? | Binary |
| 1.332 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 1.248 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Sevastopol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 0.889 | Depending on the US giving Ukraine fighter aircraft, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (No US aircraft) | Binary |
| 0.817 | Depending on US/NATO conducting military operations in Ukraine, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (No US/NATO Ops in UA) | Binary |
| 0.743 | Depending on Ukraine re-taking control of Kherson, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (Ukrainian Control) | Binary |
| 0.676 | Depending on Ukraine gaining territory in Crimea, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (< 50 km^2) | Binary |
| 0.670 | Will Ukraine join the European Union before 2024? | Binary |
| 0.364 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join the EU before 2024? | Binary |
| 0.296 | What will be state-of-the-art performance on the MATH dataset on the following dates? (June 30, 2023) | Continuous |
| 0.269 | Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024? | Binary |
| 0.206 | What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (Aug-23) | Continuous |
| 0.028 | What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (Jun-23) | Continuous |
| -0.121 | Will a member of the United States Congress introduce legislation limiting the use of LLMs before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -1.360 | On January 1, 2024, will the Kerch Bridge be destroyed, such that no vehicle can pass over it? | Binary |