| 121.742 | What percentage of the US 2024 presidential popular vote will the Democratic and Republican parties (combined) receive? | Continuous |
| 109.373 | How many members will NATO have on December 31, 2025? | Continuous |
| 107.596 | When will Skyroot Aerospace successfully launch their first satellite into space? | Continuous |
| 90.532 | In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results? | Binary |
| 88.702 | Will Tesla file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? | Binary |
| 88.479 | If the federal minimum wage is $10 or less at the end of 2024, what will the average employment-to-population ratio be in 2025? | Continuous |
| 83.809 | Will Norway leave EEA before 2025? | Binary |
| 83.628 | When will Keir Starmer cease to be Leader of the Labour Party? | Continuous |
| 83.030 | Will any member of the Trump family join Substack by Nov 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 80.231 | What will the release date of the first song to be streamed 4 billion times on Spotify be? | Continuous |
| 79.846 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 79.777 | Will Ukraine launch a nuclear weapons program before 2026? | Binary |
| 78.840 | Will Sam Altman be indicted before 2026? | Binary |
| 75.618 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 75.180 | How much oil will Russia produce (in barrels per day) in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 74.859 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 74.326 | How many Executive Orders per week will President Biden issue? | Continuous |
| 74.080 | Will Bud Light cease production by 2026? | Binary |
| 72.952 | Will the EU phase out high-concentration CO2 stunning or killing of pigs before 2025? | Binary |
| 72.786 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 72.573 | Will an AI system solve one of the remaining Millennium Prize Problems before July 2025? | Binary |
| 71.340 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 69.520 | In December 2025, what will UK total national debt (excluding public sector banks) be as a percentage of GDP? | Continuous |
| 68.985 | Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026? | Binary |
| 68.751 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 68.140 | Will meme-based cryptocurrency, Dogecoin (DOGE), be valued at $1 per coin or higher on January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 68.085 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 67.767 | In 2025, what percent of Australia's Liberal parliamentarians will be women? | Continuous |
| 65.806 | Will Reddit power user "maxwellhill" be confirmed to be Ghislaine Maxwell before 2026? | Binary |
| 65.342 | How many e-prints on AI Safety, interpretability or explainability will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period? | Continuous |
| 65.252 | Will The Kidney Project's implantable bioartificial kidney receive FDA approval before 2025? | Binary |
| 64.613 | Will 3M file for bankruptcy before 2026? | Binary |
| 62.558 | What will be the maximum CPI inflation measured in 2022? | Continuous |
| 61.573 | On what date will the U.S. CDC announce that they are tracking a SARS-CoV-2 variant that they classify as a variant of high consequence (VOHC)? | Continuous |
| 60.849 | What will the fed funds rate be on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 60.643 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 60.373 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 59.929 | What will be the price of a Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme in Westfield, Indiana in 2025? | Continuous |
| 59.913 | Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026? | Binary |
| 59.592 | Will China's GDP grow in Q2 to Q4 2022? | Binary |
| 58.909 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 58.153 | Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025? | Binary |
| 52.490 | Will Serena Williams win another Tennis Grand Slam? | Binary |
| 51.237 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 50.904 | What will be world per capita primary energy consumption (in kWh) in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 50.028 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 50.028 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 50.028 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 50.028 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 50.028 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 50.028 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 50.005 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 49.451 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 48.407 | What will Hungary's total fertility rate be in 2023? | Continuous |
| 46.300 | Will more than 34 countries have committed to a stringent anti-solar-geoengineering pact before 2026? | Binary |
| 44.668 | Will Amazon accept Bitcoin before 2024? | Binary |
| 44.575 | When will a song have been streamed 4 billion times on Spotify? | Continuous |
| 41.349 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
| 41.044 | Will there be at least one human fatality in space due to space debris by 2025? | Binary |
| 40.965 | Will space debris kill a human on Earth by 2025? | Binary |
| 39.145 | When will a Nobel Prize be awarded for COVID19-related accomplishments? | Continuous |
| 38.265 | What retail market share will plant-based milk make up of the total milk category in the US in 2022? | Continuous |
| 38.187 | What will the total amount of worldwide venture capital funding in quantum computing be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 37.815 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal by 2024? | Binary |
| 37.376 | Will ARC find that GPT-5 has autonomous replication capabilities? | Binary |
| 35.769 | Will Brazil continue to be the largest producer of soybeans in the world in 2022? | Binary |
| 35.719 | What will be Trump's first retrospective job approval rating? | Continuous |
| 35.561 | Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 34.264 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 33.252 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 32.825 | Will at least one fire produce smoke plumes that reach into the stratosphere, before 2023? | Binary |
| 32.500 | Will 2022 be warmer than 2021? | Binary |
| 30.798 | When will Tigrayan forces seize the National Palace in Addis Ababa? | Continuous |
| 28.999 | Will the US propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 28.314 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? | Binary |
| 27.878 | Will the SEC approve any bitcoin ETF before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 27.411 | Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025? | Binary |
| 24.429 | Will any senior executives of these major public companies be imprisoned for corporate crimes before 2026? | Binary |
| 23.725 | How much venture capital, private equity, and other non-exit capital will be invested in plant-based food companies in 2022? | Continuous |
| 23.424 | What will be the maximum compute (in petaFLOPS-days) ever used in training an AI experiment by the following dates? (Jan-2026) | Continuous |
| 22.636 | Will the EU AI Act implement regulations on foundation models? | Binary |
| 22.606 | How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025? | Continuous |
| 22.478 | Will spending on US office construction be less than $77 Billion USD in 2022? | Binary |
| 21.043 | If Trump is elected president in 2024, will AI foundation model reporting requirements remain in place in the US at the end of 2025? | Binary |
| 19.963 | What will Bitcoin's percentage of total crypto market capitalization be in 2025? | Continuous |
| 18.717 | How many Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period? | Continuous |
| 18.557 | How many refugees will be admitted to the US from 2021 to 2024? | Continuous |
| 17.534 | How many patients will the Shandong Yinfeng Life Science Research Institute report by 2026? | Continuous |
| 16.671 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 16.258 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 13.708 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| 13.692 | Will Substack be valued over $1 Billion before 2024? | Binary |
| 11.599 | When will FromSoftware release Elden Ring? | Continuous |
| 10.585 | Will there be a Frontier AI lab in China before 2026? | Binary |
| 8.105 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2024) | Binary |
| 7.968 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
| 7.819 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 7.380 | What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, at 2024-12-14 in accuracy? | Continuous |
| 7.318 | Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025? | Binary |
| 7.065 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 5.351 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| 5.238 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| 4.153 | By 2024, will Russia announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| 3.576 | Will there be at least one fatality due to inadvertent nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 3.529 | Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 3.513 | Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025? | Binary |
| 1.825 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 1.035 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 1.035 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 1.035 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 1.035 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 1.035 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 1.035 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 1.035 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 1.029 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| 0.752 | What will be the average monthly rate of US workforce resignations in 2022? | Continuous |
| 0.330 | Will the Taliban capture the Presidential Palace in Kabul by 2026-09-11? | Binary |
| 0.125 | Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.114 | When will the Mars helicopter Ingenuity stop making successful flights for 6 months? | Continuous |
| - | Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024? | Binary |
| -0.547 | What will be the largest cultivated meat production capacity, in metric tons per year, of a single facility by January 1, 2023? | Continuous |
| -0.635 | Will John McAfee receive a prison term of at least 3 years? | Binary |
| -0.929 | What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based foods in the U.S. be in 2022? | Continuous |
| -5.021 | Will the 12-Month U.S. Core Consumer Price Index rise above 3.0% by 2024? | Binary |
| -5.286 | Will Bitcoin outperform VTI from 2021-Mar-01 until 2026? | Binary |
| -8.846 | Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle? | Binary |
| -8.930 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -9.031 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| -10.296 | How much total capital will be invested in plant-based foods companies through exits (IPOs, direct listings, mergers and acquisitions) in 2022? | Continuous |
| -10.410 | Will any nation have less than 10% of their population vaccinated with at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| -13.226 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| -13.804 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -18.075 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| -21.247 | When will the number of US oil rigs exceed 1000? | Continuous |
| -24.023 | Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026? | Binary |
| -30.283 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| -30.774 | What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based meats be in the U.S. be in 2022? | Continuous |
| -31.935 | Will Trump gain at least 10M followers on another platform? | Binary |
| -32.054 | BTC outperforms VSS from 2021-03-01 until 2026? | Binary |
| -34.980 | What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -55.400 | How much venture capital, private equity, and other non-exit capital will be invested in cultivated meat companies in 2022? | Continuous |
| -57.947 | Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| -111.516 | What will the UK's Index of Economic Freedom score be for 2025? | Continuous |
| -119.967 | Will the UK government announce that they will allow street votes to determine planning permissions by December 31, 2024? | Binary |
| -185.202 | When will a SpaceX Starship reach orbit? | Continuous |
| -217.026 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027? | Binary |