| 76.875 | How many UN member states will formally recognize Taiwan at the end of 2025? | Continuous |
| 76.799 | How many members will NATO have on December 31, 2025? | Continuous |
| 73.827 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 73.336 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 71.737 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 69.187 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 66.854 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 66.664 | Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023? | Binary |
| 66.394 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 65.059 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 64.658 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 63.000 | How many Executive Orders per week will President Biden issue? | Continuous |
| 62.916 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 61.782 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
| 61.488 | How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States? | Continuous |
| 60.804 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 60.129 | Will space debris kill a human on Earth by 2025? | Binary |
| 58.685 | Will there be at least one fatality due to inadvertent nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 58.179 | What will be the limit prices of these major crops from December 2021 to April 2023? (US Gulf No.2 yellow maize - Max) | Continuous |
| 56.874 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 55.043 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 54.992 | What will the US real annual growth rate be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 53.917 | Will there be a deadly clash between Japanese and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 53.303 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 52.371 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 51.570 | Will Serena Williams win another Tennis Grand Slam? | Binary |
| 50.784 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 50.537 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 50.129 | What will be the lowest US unemployment rate in 2022? | Continuous |
| 49.971 | Will Turkey's annual inflation fall to 4% or less before 2025? | Binary |
| 49.518 | Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 48.675 | How many countries will be in OPEC on December 31, 2025? | Continuous |
| 48.263 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 48.014 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 47.798 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 46.468 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 46.427 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 45.941 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 45.563 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 45.459 | What will be the maximum CPI inflation measured in 2022? | Continuous |
| 45.447 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 45.086 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 45.072 | In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results? | Binary |
| 45.010 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024? | Binary |
| 44.604 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 44.501 | Will Nigeria have a coup before 2025? | Binary |
| 44.495 | Will Costco raise the price of its hot dog and soda combo before 2025? | Binary |
| 44.487 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 44.428 | What will be the total expenditure on the military in the US, in billions USD, in 2022? | Continuous |
| 43.681 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 43.546 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 43.130 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 43.119 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 42.821 | Will any nation have less than 10% of their population vaccinated with at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 42.790 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 42.566 | Will Meta Platforms (Facebook) sell Instagram or WhatsApp before 2025? | Binary |
| 42.277 | Will there be at least one HEMP attack by 2024? | Binary |
| 42.200 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 42.057 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 41.400 | Will Reddit power user "maxwellhill" be confirmed to be Ghislaine Maxwell before 2026? | Binary |
| 41.384 | Will there be >3,000 nonstrategic nuclear weapons at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 41.363 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
| 41.050 | Will the IMF approve debt service relief for the US before 2025? | Binary |
| 40.978 | By 2024, will Russia announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| 40.780 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement? | Binary |
| 40.662 | Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025? | Binary |
| 40.068 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 39.431 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (India, Israel or Pakistan) | Binary |
| 39.420 | Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025? | Binary |
| 38.774 | What will be the total box office gross in the US & Canada in 2022? | Continuous |
| 38.301 | Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024? | Binary |
| 38.102 | Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks? | Binary |
| 37.555 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal by 2024? | Binary |
| 37.306 | What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024? | Continuous |
| 36.683 | Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026? | Binary |
| 36.369 | Will Sarah Sanders be on the Republican ticket in the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 36.135 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
| 35.982 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2024) | Binary |
| 35.919 | Will there be a 10% global agricultural shortfall by 2024? | Binary |
| 34.886 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 1) | Binary |
| 34.557 | Will any member of the Trump family join Substack by Nov 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 34.111 | Before 2024, will the ACLU argue that hate speech should not be protected by the First Amendment? | Binary |
| 34.074 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 33.943 | Will the US propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 33.563 | By 2024, will a party to the NPT withdraw from the treaty? | Binary |
| 33.527 | By 2024, will the US announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| 33.305 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 2) | Binary |
| 33.211 | Will India have at least 200 nuclear warheads at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 33.095 | Will more than 2,500 nuclear weapons be ready for use at short notice at the end of 2023, according to the most recent FAS estimates? | Binary |
| 32.840 | By 2024, will China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 32.744 | Will China's GDP grow in Q2 to Q4 2022? | Binary |
| 32.641 | Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025? | Binary |
| 32.415 | Will US offer India a nuclear submarine before 2026? | Binary |
| 31.959 | What will be the average inflation in the US from January 2022 to December 2024? | Continuous |
| 31.730 | Will the U.S. phase out per-country caps on employment-based visas before 2025? | Binary |
| 31.464 | By 2024, will Russia clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 31.338 | Will the US officially state the intention to re-ratify the INF Treaty by 2024? | Binary |
| 31.246 | Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 29.890 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (South Sudan) | Binary |
| 29.437 | Will US core CPI inflation rise by more than 3% from December 2021 to December 2022? | Binary |
| 29.428 | Will the EU propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by 2025? | Binary |
| 29.275 | Will Tesla file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? | Binary |
| 29.259 | Will 2022 be warmer than 2021? | Binary |
| 29.025 | Will a cultivated meat company be profitable by April 2023? | Binary |
| 28.853 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 28.754 | Will Norway leave EEA before 2025? | Binary |
| 28.596 | Will the next president of Ecuador remain in office through the end of their term? | Binary |
| 28.586 | Will Gautam Adani be listed in the top 10 of the Forbes' annual 'World's Billionaires List' before 2026? | Binary |
| 28.296 | In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court? | Binary |
| 27.912 | Will the price of Beyond or Impossible plant-based ground beef go lower than conventional ground beef before April 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 26.625 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 26.388 | Will spending on US office construction be less than $77 Billion USD in 2022? | Binary |
| 26.240 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 25.639 | Will an act such as the JCPA significantly strengthen US news companies' bargaining position before 2025? | Binary |
| 25.296 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 24.834 | Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 24.446 | Will the US CDC sponsor or support a nationwide metagenomic sequencing program before 2025? | Binary |
| 23.188 | Will Norway announce an official referendum about EU accession before the next parliamentary election in September 2025? | Binary |
| 22.846 | Will Egypt attempt to damage the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2024? | Binary |
| 22.676 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 22.498 | Will meme-based cryptocurrency, Dogecoin (DOGE), be valued at $1 per coin or higher on January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 22.074 | Will any state hold a caucus instead of a primary for the Democratic Presidential nomination in 2024? | Binary |
| 21.917 | Will the majority of companies in the United States offer remote or hybrid work options in 2025? | Binary |
| 21.335 | Will any of the winners of BARDA's mask innovation challenge be sold on Amazon and cost less than $1 per unit before 2025? | Binary |
| 21.332 | In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state? | Binary |
| 21.283 | By 2024, will a nuclear-armed state other than the US, Russia, or China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 20.452 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 3) | Binary |
| 20.403 | Will at least two states each increase the size of their nuclear weapons arsenals by at least 25% by 2024? | Binary |
| 20.133 | Will there be discussion in mainstream media about an AI arms race in March 2025? | Binary |
| 19.678 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 19.458 | Before 2024, will North Korea possess enough fissile material to make at least 100 warheads? | Binary |
| 19.431 | Will The Kidney Project's implantable bioartificial kidney receive FDA approval before 2025? | Binary |
| 17.843 | Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025? | Binary |
| 17.835 | Will the EU phase out high-concentration CO2 stunning or killing of pigs before 2025? | Binary |
| 17.759 | Will there be at least one human fatality in space due to space debris by 2025? | Binary |
| 17.303 | Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle? | Binary |
| 17.279 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 16.911 | Will PsiQuantum have a commercial quantum computer by 2025? | Binary |
| 16.899 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 16.076 | Will Josh Frydenberg re-enter Australian parliament before the next general election? | Binary |
| 15.584 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
| 15.532 | Will USA top the Olympic Medal Table at Paris 2024? | Binary |
| 15.419 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| 15.395 | In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election? | Binary |
| 14.887 | Will the UK and India have signed an FTA before the next UK General Election? | Binary |
| 14.836 | Will Sadiq Khan win re-election in the 2024 London Mayoral Elections? | Binary |
| 14.657 | Will the EPA grant a waiver for the entirety of California's proposed Advanced Clean Cars II before January 21, 2025? | Binary |
| 14.551 | Will Cryptocurrency Miners be considered “brokers” by the IRS by 2025? | Binary |
| 13.283 | Will tirzepatide be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA before 2025? | Binary |
| 12.833 | Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025? | Binary |
| 11.741 | Will Brazil continue to be the largest producer of soybeans in the world in 2022? | Binary |
| 10.772 | Will at least one fire produce smoke plumes that reach into the stratosphere, before 2023? | Binary |
| 10.036 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| 9.879 | Will there be a US-Iran war by 2024? | Binary |
| 9.728 | Which party will form the government after the next Indian general election in 2024? (BJP) | Binary |
| 9.619 | In 2025, will code generating AI have been pre-trained on a natural language corpus? | Binary |
| 9.553 | Will the SEC approve any bitcoin ETF before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 7.698 | Which party will form the government after the next Indian general election in 2024? (INC) | Binary |
| 7.674 | Will the floating storage vessel Safer leak at least 10,000 tonnes of oil before 2025? | Binary |
| 7.563 | Will Trevor Milton be convicted on federal fraud charges related to Nikola before 2024? | Binary |
| 7.175 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? | Binary |
| 6.959 | If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 6.803 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (K. Starmer (Labour)) | Binary |
| 6.801 | How will the World Happiness Report rank the United States in 2020-2022? | Continuous |
| 6.714 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (R. Sunak (Tories)) | Binary |
| 6.468 | Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025? | Binary |
| 6.338 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 6.228 | Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024? | Binary |
| 6.011 | What will US inflation be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 5.237 | Will France place in the Top 5 at the 2024 Paris Olympics? | Binary |
| 4.961 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Futbol Club Barcelona) | Binary |
| 4.960 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami) | Binary |
| 4.960 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Al-Hilal Saudi Football Club) | Binary |
| 4.960 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Manchester City Football Club) | Binary |
| 4.960 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Club Atlético Newell's Old Boys) | Binary |
| 4.921 | Will copyright of at least one of the depictions of Mickey Mouse be extended beyond the current deadline of January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 4.621 | Will the year-over-year increase in U.S. Core CPI be above 4.0% for any 6 consecutive months before 2024? | Binary |
| 4.417 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 4.182 | What retail market share will plant-based milk make up of the total milk category in the US in 2022? | Continuous |
| 3.648 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 3.245 | Will India sign the Artemis Accords before 2025? | Binary |
| 2.694 | Will the 12-Month U.S. Core Consumer Price Index rise above 3.0% by 2024? | Binary |
| 2.117 | Will the Simon Institute for Longterm Governance have more than two full-time employees in 2025? | Binary |
| 1.083 | Will global trade as a percentage of GWP exceed 61% by 2026? | Binary |
| 0.712 | What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based eggs be in the U.S. in 2022? | Continuous |
| 0.617 | Will North Korea launch another intercontinental ballistic missile before 2024? | Binary |
| 0.458 | Will the UK government announce that they will allow street votes to determine planning permissions by December 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 0.285 | Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.232 | When will FromSoftware release Elden Ring? | Continuous |
| 0.200 | Will the Taliban capture the Presidential Palace in Kabul by 2026-09-11? | Binary |
| 0.034 | Will someone agree to participate in a Rootclaim challenge before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.016 | Will the gray wolf be relisted as Threatened or Endangered by the US before 2030? | Binary |
| 0.005 | What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based foods in the U.S. be in 2022? | Continuous |
| - | BTC outperforms VSS from 2021-03-01 until 2026? | Binary |
| - | Will SpaceX's non-launch revenue exceed its launch revenue before 2025? | Binary |
| -0.526 | Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before 2026? | Binary |
| -1.522 | Will Bitcoin outperform VTI from 2021-Mar-01 until 2026? | Binary |
| -1.527 | Will Magnus Carlsen compete in the next World Chess Championship match? | Binary |
| -1.660 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| -2.140 | Will Substack be valued over $1 Billion before 2024? | Binary |
| -2.552 | Will the Somerton Man's DNA match that of "Jestyn's" family? | Binary |
| -2.862 | Will SciHub or a successor organisation exist and be uploading new articles in 2023? | Binary |
| -2.891 | What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based meats be in the U.S. be in 2022? | Continuous |
| -3.683 | Will China have at least 420 nuclear warheads on December 31, 2023? | Binary |
| -3.692 | Will GB News be broadcasting in 2025? | Binary |
| -4.282 | Will Elizabeth Truss become Leader of the UK's Conservative Party before 2025? | Binary |
| -6.064 | By 2024, will the next Nuclear Posture Review explicitly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| -6.344 | Will there be any further delay to the Libor cessation in 2023? | Binary |
| -7.307 | Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| -8.370 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| -9.821 | Will Google block third-party cookies on Chrome before 2024? | Binary |
| -10.536 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| -10.601 | Will Virgin Galactic file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? | Binary |
| -11.136 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| -13.862 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| -15.526 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -16.957 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -23.094 | Will MDMA be FDA-approved for the treatment of PTSD before 2025? | Binary |
| -24.637 | Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -25.178 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2023, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| -30.921 | Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) be passed before 2025? | Binary |
| -36.585 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2024) | Binary |
| -38.386 | How many plug-in electric vehicle sales will there be in the US in 2022? | Continuous |
| -43.585 | Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024? | Binary |
| -46.605 | Will Trump gain at least 10M followers on another platform? | Binary |
| -57.730 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |