| 169.137 | What will be the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 165.836 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Forward) | Continuous |
| 144.850 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Green) | Continuous |
| 140.381 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Libertarian) | Continuous |
| 134.915 | How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 112.396 | How many people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 98.693 | How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2026? | Continuous |
| 98.667 | Will Bud Light cease production by 2026? | Binary |
| 97.878 | Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates? (March 15, 2025) | Binary |
| 96.410 | Will Ukraine launch a nuclear weapons program before 2026? | Binary |
| 93.840 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Democratic) | Continuous |
| 93.833 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Terran R) | Continuous |
| 93.420 | What will annual CO2 emissions be in the United States (in tonnes) in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 92.089 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2026? | Binary |
| 91.452 | Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026? | Binary |
| 90.767 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 88.506 | Will an AI system solve one of the remaining Millennium Prize Problems before July 2025? | Binary |
| 86.871 | Will Sam Altman be indicted before 2026? | Binary |
| 82.772 | What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles? (2025) | Continuous |
| 79.201 | What will be India's rating in the Freedom In the World Report for the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 79.051 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 79.009 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 78.974 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 78.904 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 78.696 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 78.634 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 78.449 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 78.070 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 78.070 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 76.545 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Republican) | Continuous |
| 73.713 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 1) | Binary |
| 73.625 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 73.159 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 71.364 | Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026? | Binary |
| 70.938 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
| 70.344 | Will the UK housing market crash before July 2025? | Binary |
| 69.320 | What will the world population be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 69.320 | When will the federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (classified documents case) | Continuous |
| 69.282 | When will the Republican presidential nominee next win the state of Massachusetts in a US Presidential Election? (2024) | Binary |
| 69.263 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 68.445 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 68.102 | Will Costco raise the price of its hot dog and soda combo before 2025? | Binary |
| 66.144 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 65.684 | Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025? | Binary |
| 64.789 | What percentage of the US 2024 presidential popular vote will the Democratic and Republican parties (combined) receive? | Continuous |
| 64.447 | What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 64.438 | Will ARC find that GPT-5 has autonomous replication capabilities? | Binary |
| 63.428 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 2) | Binary |
| 63.298 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Bloc Québécois) | Binary |
| 63.298 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Green) | Binary |
| 63.298 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (People's) | Binary |
| 62.069 | Will Sarah Sanders be on the Republican ticket in the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 61.946 | Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026? | Binary |
| 61.937 | What will be India's rating in the Freedom In the World Report for the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 61.148 | Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025? | Binary |
| 60.959 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (New Democratic) | Binary |
| 59.032 | Will the percent of U.S. workers employed in white-collar jobs drop at least 2 percentage points below the 2022 level before 2026? | Binary |
| 57.482 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 55.568 | What percentage of black voters will vote for a Republican president in the 2024 US presidential election? | Continuous |
| 54.509 | Will Norway announce an official referendum about EU accession before the next parliamentary election in September 2025? | Binary |
| 53.815 | Will the United States score in the bottom 50% for academic freedom in 2025 (according to the AFI)? | Binary |
| 53.489 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
| 52.337 | How many predictions will have been made on Metaculus by the following dates? (October 1, 2025) | Continuous |
| 51.799 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 51.779 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 51.726 | If Trump is elected president in 2024, will AI foundation model reporting requirements remain in place in the US at the end of 2025? | Binary |
| 51.671 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 51.612 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 51.606 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 51.523 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 51.379 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 51.341 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 50.737 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 50.363 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (No Labels) | Continuous |
| 50.125 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 50.073 | Will Nigeria have a coup before 2025? | Binary |
| 49.975 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 49.781 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 49.540 | In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court? | Binary |
| 49.252 | Will any state hold a caucus instead of a primary for the Democratic Presidential nomination in 2024? | Binary |
| 49.210 | When will Keir Starmer cease to be Leader of the Labour Party? | Continuous |
| 49.086 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 47.882 | Will there be discussion in mainstream media about an AI arms race in March 2025? | Binary |
| 47.323 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 47.121 | What will be the world population in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 44.671 | How many months in prison will Andrew Tate be sentenced to before 2026? | Continuous |
| 44.176 | Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks? | Binary |
| 42.265 | Will space debris kill a human on Earth by 2025? | Binary |
| 40.390 | Will Labour have a majority in the House of Commons after the next UK General Election? | Binary |
| 39.894 | Before 2024, will the ACLU argue that hate speech should not be protected by the First Amendment? | Binary |
| 39.712 | When will the UK hold its next general election? | Continuous |
| 39.285 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2024) | Binary |
| 38.613 | In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state? | Binary |
| 37.086 | Will the majority of companies in the United States offer remote or hybrid work options in 2025? | Binary |
| 36.896 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (India, Israel or Pakistan) | Binary |
| 36.352 | How many Executive Orders per week will President Biden issue? | Continuous |
| 35.719 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024? | Binary |
| 35.713 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal by 2024? | Binary |
| 35.690 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 35.020 | How many confirmed children will Elon Musk have by end of 2025? | Continuous |
| 33.021 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (New Glenn) | Continuous |
| 32.618 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 31.921 | By 2024, will a party to the NPT withdraw from the treaty? | Binary |
| 31.410 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 31.121 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| 30.681 | Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025? | Binary |
| 30.554 | How many Electoral College votes will the Republican Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election? | Continuous |
| 30.299 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 30.090 | Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 29.908 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 29.897 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (South Sudan) | Binary |
| 29.332 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 3) | Binary |
| 29.299 | What percentage of Hispanic or Latino voters will vote Republican in 2024? | Continuous |
| 29.017 | What will be the maximum arctic sea ice extent (in millions km^2) in these years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 28.545 | Will OpenAI release an LLM product or API that hallucinates 5x less than GPT-4 did when it was released, by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
| 28.180 | Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025? | Binary |
| 28.072 | Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle? | Binary |
| 27.116 | Will Beyond Meat file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? | Binary |
| 26.962 | Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 26.693 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
| 26.140 | In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results? | Binary |
| 25.594 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 25.353 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 25.147 | Which party will form the government after the next Indian general election in 2024? (BJP) | Binary |
| 25.147 | Which party will form the government after the next Indian general election in 2024? (INC) | Binary |
| 24.441 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 24.247 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (K. Starmer (Labour)) | Binary |
| 24.150 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (R. Sunak (Tories)) | Binary |
| 23.348 | What will be the minimum Antarctic sea ice extent (in millions km^2) in these years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 23.088 | If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 22.689 | Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025? | Binary |
| 22.550 | Will at least two states each increase the size of their nuclear weapons arsenals by at least 25% by 2024? | Binary |
| 22.133 | How many Electoral College votes will the Democratic Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election? | Continuous |
| 21.896 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 21.500 | What will be the number of US states with "right to charge" regulations in 2025? | Continuous |
| 21.051 | Will there be a 10% global agricultural shortfall by 2024? | Binary |
| 20.716 | What will be the minimum arctic sea ice extent in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 20.626 | Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025? | Binary |
| 20.238 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 18.504 | What will be the average monthly rate of US workforce resignations in 2022? | Continuous |
| 18.348 | How many UN member states will formally recognize Taiwan at the end of 2025? | Continuous |
| 18.209 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| 18.095 | Will Sadiq Khan win re-election in the 2024 London Mayoral Elections? | Binary |
| 17.977 | Will Freedom House report that internet freedom has declined every year until 2025? | Binary |
| 17.452 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2023, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| 16.095 | How many ketamine infusion clinics will there be on January 1, 2025 in the USA? | Continuous |
| 16.085 | When will the order providing for Title 42 expulsions no longer be in effect in the United States? | Continuous |
| 15.511 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Labour) | Continuous |
| 14.805 | Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025? | Binary |
| 13.356 | Will Australia hold a Federal Referendum on an "Indigenous Voice to Parliament" before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 13.002 | When will OpenAI release an AI that significantly improves on GPT-4's factual accuracy? | Continuous |
| 12.797 | When will a SpaceX Starship launched as a second stage reach an altitude of 100 kilometers? | Continuous |
| 12.718 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| 11.970 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 11.437 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Sam Bankman-Fried) | Binary |
| 11.201 | Will the US restrict access outside the US to some APIs to generative AI before 2026? | Binary |
| 9.984 | What will be the annual average retail electricity price (in 2022 US cents per kWh) in the United States in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 9.821 | Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026? (United States) | Binary |
| 9.032 | How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 8.898 | Will there be a successful coup in Cameroon before 2026? | Binary |
| 8.471 | What will be the annual number of objects launched into space in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 8.350 | Will Norway leave EEA before 2025? | Binary |
| 8.051 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 7.638 | Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026? (United Kingdom) | Binary |
| 6.768 | When will WHO recommend widespread use of a malaria vaccine that is >75% effective? | Continuous |
| 6.606 | What will be the median estimated range (in miles) of all-electric vehicles available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) for the following model years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 6.510 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Conservative) | Continuous |
| 5.800 | What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 5.266 | What will Google Trends search interest for Donald Trump be in July 2024 as a percentage of in November 2016? | Continuous |
| 5.179 | Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 5.012 | What will be the annual average retail gasoline price (in 2022 USD per gallon) in the United States in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 4.913 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Alliance) | Continuous |
| 4.837 | What will be the maximum Antarctic sea ice extent in these years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 4.477 | Will Amy Wax no longer have tenure at a top-24 US university before 2026? | Binary |
| 4.201 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (SDLP) | Continuous |
| 3.832 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Plaid Cymru) | Continuous |
| 3.754 | What will be the minimum arctic sea ice extent in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 3.435 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (DUP) | Continuous |
| 3.115 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Sinn Féin) | Continuous |
| 2.949 | Will Tesla file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? | Binary |
| 2.934 | Will China's GDP grow in Q2 to Q4 2022? | Binary |
| 2.639 | What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 2.459 | Will Turkey's annual inflation fall to 4% or less before 2025? | Binary |
| 2.382 | Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024? | Binary |
| 2.011 | Will China operate at least one military base in a BRICS country before 2026? | Binary |
| 1.946 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| 1.829 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Greens) | Continuous |
| 1.811 | How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 1.734 | What will be the water level of Lake Mead (in feet) at the end of July of the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 1.472 | How will the World Happiness Report rank the United States in 2020-2022? | Continuous |
| 1.447 | Will there be at least one human fatality in space due to space debris by 2025? | Binary |
| 1.420 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Ariane 6) | Continuous |
| 1.393 | In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election? | Binary |
| 1.366 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Reform) | Continuous |
| 1.168 | Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023? | Binary |
| 1.027 | Will Reddit power user "maxwellhill" be confirmed to be Ghislaine Maxwell before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.662 | What will be the total size of Open Philanthropy's 2022 grants in the nuclear risk area? | Continuous |
| 0.516 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2024) | Binary |
| 0.395 | Will the SEC approve any bitcoin ETF before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 0.368 | Will there be a deadly clash between Japanese and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 0.368 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement? | Binary |
| 0.346 | Will the floating storage vessel Safer leak at least 10,000 tonnes of oil before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.003 | Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny some entities) | Binary |
| 0.003 | Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny ≥100 countries) | Binary |
| 0.003 | Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny all, allow US or int'l licensing) | Binary |
| 0.003 | Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny all non-US, allow US or int'l licensing) | Binary |
| 0.003 | Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny all, secret or no new licenses) | Binary |
| 0.003 | Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny ≤99 countries) | Binary |
| 0.003 | Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny all non-US, allow some local licensing) | Binary |
| -0.370 | Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before 2026? | Binary |
| -0.701 | What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters? (2025 Q2) | Continuous |
| -0.731 | How many Falcon 9 failures will there be before 2026? | Continuous |
| -2.024 | Will any senior executives of these major public companies be imprisoned for corporate crimes before 2026? | Binary |
| -2.374 | What will be the speed (in FLOPS) of the fastest supercomputer on record in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| -3.461 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| -4.102 | What will be the maximum arctic sea ice extent (in millions km^2) in these years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -5.107 | What will the US life expectancy be in 2023? | Continuous |
| -9.220 | When will the next UK general election take place? | Continuous |
| -9.750 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Neutron) | Continuous |
| -12.480 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Liberal Democrat) | Continuous |
| -15.251 | Will Virgin Galactic file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? | Binary |
| -15.603 | Will the US enact export controls for some generative AI software before 2026? | Binary |
| -16.235 | Will MDMA be FDA-approved for the treatment of PTSD before 2025? | Binary |
| -16.651 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -17.474 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026? | Binary |
| -18.530 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Scottish National Party) | Continuous |
| -18.961 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Conservative) | Binary |
| -19.292 | What will the UK's Index of Economic Freedom score be for 2025? | Continuous |
| -24.053 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Liberal) | Binary |
| -25.294 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Vulcan Centaur) | Continuous |
| -25.696 | Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| -27.026 | Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026? | Binary |
| -34.047 | Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026? | Binary |
| -34.134 | What will be Ukraine's score in The Democracy Index in 2024? | Continuous |
| -35.032 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| -35.616 | What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters? (2025 Q3) | Continuous |
| -82.806 | Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) be passed before 2025? | Binary |
| -112.863 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Starship) | Continuous |
| -122.998 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -128.074 | What will be the share of people living in countries where same-sex marriage is legal in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -154.469 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Sam Trabucco) | Binary |
| -163.328 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| -226.269 | How many states will have legally enforceable rules that are at least as stringent as Advanced Clean Cars II on January 1 of the following years? (2025) | Continuous |