137.888 | What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025? | Continuous |
124.400 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
115.335 | How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025? | Continuous |
97.533 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
97.159 | Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada? | Multiple Choice |
94.894 | Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
91.108 | Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
88.973 | What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)? | Continuous |
88.647 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? | Binary |
87.961 | What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025? | Continuous |
86.464 | What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025? | Continuous |
84.828 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
83.916 | What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
83.571 | Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025? | Binary |
82.821 | Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025? | Binary |
82.789 | How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025? | Continuous |
79.539 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
79.492 | Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%? | Binary |
77.586 | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? | Binary |
75.902 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Apr 14 - Apr 25) | Binary |
75.124 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses) | Continuous |
74.481 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
72.719 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
72.290 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
71.471 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
71.209 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue) | Continuous |
70.446 | Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025? | Binary |
69.119 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025) | Continuous |
65.354 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR) | Binary |
64.004 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
62.578 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin) | Continuous |
62.402 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
61.309 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Feb 24, 2025 to Mar 2, 2025) | Continuous |
58.426 | What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025? | Continuous |
55.196 | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD) | Continuous |
55.033 | How many subscribers will the MrBeast YouTube channel have on March 30, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
53.072 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025) | Binary |
53.072 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
52.894 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 9, 2025) | Continuous |
52.063 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD) | Binary |
52.001 | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN) | Continuous |
49.460 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
48.325 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apri 21 - May 2) | Binary |
48.319 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2) | Binary |
45.490 | What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units? | Continuous |
43.835 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey) | Continuous |
43.710 | What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025? | Continuous |
43.599 | Who will win the Tour de France 2025? | Multiple Choice |
43.065 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
42.622 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (July 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
40.400 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
40.017 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 16 - June 20) | Continuous |
39.376 | What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
37.726 | What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025? | Continuous |
36.754 | How many parties will be in the next German parliament? | Multiple Choice |
36.071 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World) | Continuous |
36.027 | How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week? | Multiple Choice |
35.124 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
32.078 | What will the number of active US drilling rigs be on March 28, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
32.047 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
31.985 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
30.476 | What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit? | Multiple Choice |
30.130 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
29.840 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES) | Binary |
28.491 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
28.050 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
28.033 | By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup? | Multiple Choice |
27.946 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
27.616 | What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025? | Multiple Choice |
27.059 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
26.397 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
25.869 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
24.781 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 2 - June 6) | Continuous |
23.505 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025) | Binary |
23.436 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 27) | Continuous |
23.350 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 13) | Continuous |
22.567 | Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from? | Multiple Choice |
21.377 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
20.427 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
17.947 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
17.928 | How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025? | Continuous |
16.670 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services)) | Binary |
16.461 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
16.292 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, June 2025) | Binary |
15.902 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27) | Binary |
14.855 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence)) | Binary |
14.628 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
13.923 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
13.830 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
13.620 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
12.854 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
12.061 | What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025? | Continuous |
11.896 | What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
10.212 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 16 - Jun 27) | Binary |
10.068 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 19 - May 23) | Continuous |
9.351 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
7.581 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 30) | Continuous |
7.576 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, June 2025) | Binary |
6.897 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
6.869 | What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament? | Multiple Choice |
6.425 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
6.220 | Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025? | Binary |
5.349 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
4.434 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
4.054 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
1.022 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
0.957 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27) | Binary |
0.386 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 2) | Continuous |
0.241 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
-1.790 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (Apr 21 - Apr 25) | Continuous |
-2.924 | What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025? | Continuous |
-4.915 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
-7.030 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-7.697 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
-7.728 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
-8.009 | Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025? | Binary |
-8.901 | How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
-9.258 | Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025? | Binary |
-11.264 | Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025? | Binary |
-14.105 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-16.642 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
-24.179 | What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025? | Continuous |
-25.242 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 2 - Jun 13) | Binary |
-32.907 | What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter? | Continuous |
-35.856 | Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place? | Binary |
-38.312 | What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025? | Continuous |
-38.386 | Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026? | Binary |
-41.576 | What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025? | Continuous |
-47.473 | What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
-54.343 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights) | Continuous |
-57.583 | Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025? | Binary |
-77.700 | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? (No) → What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025? | Continuous |
-172.010 | Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025? | Binary |
-525.103 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print)) | Binary |