GarrettWhite

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2025

Peer Accuracy measures how accurate a user was compared to others. Users are ranked by the sum of their Peer scores, divided by the sum of their Coverages. This creates a weighted average, where each prediction is counted proportionally to how long it was standing. To reduce the impact of luck, all forecasters start with a prior of 30 questions with a score of 0. Learn more here.

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28.98		Weighted Average Score
Score	Coverage	Question	Question Type
149.545	99.4%	What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
139.666	99.1%	What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025?	Continuous
135.450	98.5%	What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025?	Continuous
131.963	98.8%	What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025?	Continuous
129.341	99.1%	How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025?	Continuous
117.743	99.5%	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2)	Binary
109.442	98.2%	Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025?	Binary
108.923	99.5%	Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
106.824	99.5%	What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
103.547	99.7%	How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025?	Continuous
101.588	98.6%	What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025?	Continuous
94.319	99.8%	What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
89.408	98.2%	What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025?	Continuous
87.288	99.7%	Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025?	Binary
86.079	99.1%	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Apr 14 - Apr 25)	Binary
85.852	98.8%	How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
82.040	98.4%	What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter?	Continuous
81.663	99.9%	On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN)	Continuous
77.990	98.2%	What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025?	Continuous
76.763	99.3%	What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025?	Continuous
73.518	97.6%	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 2)	Continuous
72.680	99.3%	How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025?	Continuous
72.110	99.3%	What will the number of active US drilling rigs be on March 28, 2025?	Multiple Choice
69.465	98.9%	What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025?	Continuous
69.320	99.8%	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights)	Continuous
68.019	99.6%	Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025?	Binary
67.216	98.7%	How many subscribers will the MrBeast YouTube channel have on March 30, 2025?	Multiple Choice
66.674	50.2%	Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024?	Binary
66.435	94.3%	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
64.579	99.3%	How many parties will be in the next German parliament?	Multiple Choice
63.788	99.2%	What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament?	Multiple Choice
62.401	50.0%	On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment?	Binary
62.233	99.6%	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apri 21 - May 2)	Binary
61.936	99.2%	What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025?	Continuous
61.868	98.6%	What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025?	Multiple Choice
61.855	99.9%	On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD)	Continuous
60.655	95.9%	Will a participant reach the $750 comment prize cap in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup?	Binary
59.090	99.1%	What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)?	Continuous
56.136	50.0%	Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?	Binary
54.669	79.9%	What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit?	Multiple Choice
53.728	99.6%	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey)	Continuous
52.260	98.5%	Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from?	Multiple Choice
50.180	99.8%	Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025?	Binary
49.235	59.8%	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (HOOD)	Binary
49.120	92.7%	What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
47.179	85.1%	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
46.650	89.4%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025)	Binary
44.846	99.3%	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World)	Continuous
44.758	99.3%	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
42.177	98.4%	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
41.133	96.2%	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Feb 24, 2025 to Mar 2, 2025)	Continuous
40.073	89.4%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025)	Binary
39.951	97.5%	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 9, 2025)	Continuous
35.816	41.9%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
35.365	99.3%	How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week?	Multiple Choice
35.316	98.1%	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025)	Continuous
34.761	50.2%	Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?	Binary
34.728	41.9%	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
34.593	99.3%	Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025?	Binary
34.521	98.4%	What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025?	Continuous
31.513	50.0%	Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?	Binary
31.323	50.0%	Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025?	Binary
30.233	97.3%	Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025?	Binary
29.744	98.1%	Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025?	Binary
29.729	99.7%	Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025?	Binary
29.639	75.8%	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin)	Continuous
28.486	98.5%	What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units?	Continuous
27.138	99.3%	What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025?	Continuous
26.244	74.1%	Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025?	Binary
26.124	98.4%	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
24.646	70.2%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
24.391	88.4%	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
24.153	70.2%	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
24.117	85.1%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
23.602	50.0%	Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in 2025?	Binary
23.440	98.4%	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
23.426	72.5%	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16)	Continuous
21.674	75.8%	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue)	Continuous
21.091	75.8%	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses)	Continuous
21.054	69.8%	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before 2026? (ARES)	Binary
20.893	50.0%	Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024?	Binary
20.647	97.2%	Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%?	Binary
20.228	50.0%	Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi?	Binary
20.058	70.1%	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR)	Binary
19.301	70.0%	Will the poverty rate in Argentina be lower in the first half of 2025 compared to the second half of 2023?	Binary
19.136	70.1%	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD)	Binary
18.803	50.0%	Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026?	Binary
18.152	76.0%	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
18.119	99.5%	Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place?	Binary
18.072	47.7%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 16 - June 20)	Continuous
17.916	70.1%	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
17.894	70.1%	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES)	Binary
17.720	99.7%	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2)	Continuous
17.428	86.7%	What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
17.296	96.7%	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
17.096	50.0%	Will mifepristone become significantly restricted or illegal to prescribe for abortions across the US before 2026?	Binary
17.085	70.2%	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
16.582	81.6%	What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
16.535	86.8%	What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
16.227	50.0%	Will inflation-adjusted gas prices rise in the US in 2025?	Binary
15.916	99.7%	Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada?	Multiple Choice
15.874	88.4%	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
15.658	96.9%	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (MSTR)	Binary
15.431	70.1%	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
15.398	50.0%	Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?	Binary
15.354	95.7%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (July 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
15.324	89.4%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025)	Binary
14.702	62.9%	Who will win the Tour de France 2025?	Multiple Choice
14.599	98.6%	By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup?	Multiple Choice
14.451	81.6%	What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
14.297	89.4%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025)	Binary
14.060	85.1%	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
14.026	76.0%	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
13.623	70.2%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
13.447	47.7%	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27)	Binary
13.446	70.2%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
12.940	68.2%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, June 2025)	Binary
12.896	96.6%	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
12.771	47.7%	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27)	Binary
12.669	81.4%	What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
12.601	96.3%	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before 2026? (MSTR)	Binary
12.458	47.7%	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 27)	Continuous
12.290	50.0%	Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
11.921	99.1%	Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? (No) → What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025?	Continuous
11.722	18.0%	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services))	Binary
11.210	68.2%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, June 2025)	Binary
11.171	85.1%	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
11.077	38.9%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
11.037	50.0%	Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025?	Binary
10.631	70.2%	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
10.622	72.9%	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19)	Continuous
10.421	88.4%	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
9.987	42.1%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 2 - June 6)	Continuous
9.962	95.9%	Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025?	Binary
9.954	86.8%	What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
9.946	70.1%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
9.313	16.2%	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence))	Binary
9.119	68.2%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, June 2025)	Binary
8.963	68.2%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, June 2025)	Binary
8.534	40.6%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
8.480	72.9%	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19)	Continuous
8.473	40.6%	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
8.464	38.9%	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
8.317	81.4%	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q3 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue)	Continuous
8.127	40.6%	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
8.079	37.4%	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD)	Continuous
7.828	41.9%	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
7.775	70.1%	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
7.722	70.0%	Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025?	Binary
7.286	72.9%	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19)	Continuous
7.100	42.1%	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 13)	Continuous
7.063	24.1%	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
7.011	40.6%	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
6.983	99.7%	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2)	Continuous
6.980	37.4%	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD)	Continuous
6.795	50.2%	Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024?	Binary
6.735	40.1%	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
6.629	40.6%	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
6.578	70.2%	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
6.576	77.5%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)	Continuous
6.195	38.9%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
6.086	70.2%	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
5.986	40.6%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
5.844	72.5%	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16)	Continuous
5.729	41.9%	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
5.726	72.9%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19)	Continuous
5.547	33.4%	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
5.285	70.1%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
5.102	40.6%	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
4.914	72.9%	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19)	Continuous
4.890	95.7%	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
4.825	99.7%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2)	Continuous
4.717	40.1%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
4.687	81.4%	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q3 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses)	Continuous
4.651	77.5%	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)	Continuous
4.649	16.7%	What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
4.504	15.0%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 19 - May 23)	Continuous
4.126	77.5%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)	Continuous
4.049	38.9%	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
3.905	15.0%	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 30)	Continuous
3.734	81.4%	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q3 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin)	Continuous
3.625	81.4%	What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
3.581	70.1%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
3.580	42.1%	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13)	Binary
3.553	40.1%	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
3.343	77.5%	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)	Continuous
3.121	40.1%	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
3.070	15.0%	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 19 - May 30)	Binary
2.922	11.8%	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
2.877	77.5%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)	Continuous
2.843	38.9%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
2.337	14.3%	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7)	Continuous
2.120	72.5%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16)	Continuous
2.091	16.7%	What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
2.016	38.9%	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
1.895	41.9%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
1.863	16.7%	What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
1.850	14.3%	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7)	Continuous
1.608	40.0%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
1.491	11.8%	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
1.481	40.1%	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
1.432	14.3%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7)	Continuous
1.405	47.7%	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 16 - Jun 27)	Binary
1.361	77.5%	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)	Continuous
1.336	42.1%	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13)	Binary
1.327	15.0%	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30)	Binary
1.309	15.0%	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30)	Binary
1.146	72.9%	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19)	Continuous
1.094	95.7%	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
1.077	9.8%	Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025?	Binary
1.007	40.1%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
0.845	14.3%	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7)	Continuous
0.799	14.3%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7)	Continuous
0.728	77.5%	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)	Continuous
0.661	77.5%	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)	Continuous
0.625	16.7%	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
0.566	72.9%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19)	Continuous
0.429	17.6%	What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD)	Continuous
0.012	14.3%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7)	Continuous
-0.041	14.3%	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7)	Continuous
-0.052	14.3%	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7)	Continuous
-0.202	66.4%	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before 2026? (CVNA)	Binary
-0.296	41.9%	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
-0.370	72.5%	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16)	Continuous
-0.439	42.1%	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 2 - Jun 13)	Binary
-0.547	72.5%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16)	Continuous
-0.980	16.7%	What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
-1.293	24.1%	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
-1.424	40.0%	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
-1.459	38.9%	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
-1.489	70.1%	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
-1.841	99.7%	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2)	Continuous
-2.574	95.7%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
-2.895	72.5%	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16)	Continuous
-3.215	95.7%	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
-3.607	72.5%	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16)	Continuous
-3.652	72.5%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16)	Continuous
-4.024	8.0%	Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025?	Binary
-4.164	99.7%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2)	Continuous
-4.372	72.9%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19)	Continuous
-4.545	85.1%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
-4.659	38.9%	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
-4.788	95.7%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
-5.042	85.1%	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
-5.043	70.1%	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
-6.342	97.7%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (Apr 21 - Apr 25)	Continuous
-6.519	78.1%	Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025?	Binary
-6.675	41.9%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
-8.197	16.7%	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
-8.493	41.9%	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
-9.496	85.1%	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
-9.573	17.6%	What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD)	Continuous
-9.823	95.8%	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
-11.837	70.9%	Will Norway announce the replacement design for the Fridtjof Nansen-class before September 2025?	Binary
-12.543	85.1%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
-13.792	40.6%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
-18.711	33.4%	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
-19.339	96.9%	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (ARES)	Binary
-20.496	99.7%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2)	Continuous
-24.354	99.7%	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2)	Continuous
-25.144	99.7%	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2)	Continuous
-27.742	26.0%	Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026?	Binary
-28.327	95.8%	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
-32.711	86.7%	What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
-48.935	50.4%	Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?	Binary
-49.837	42.4%	Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?	Binary
-179.883	94.0%	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print))	Binary