GarrettWhite

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2025

Peer Accuracy measures how accurate a user was compared to others. Users are ranked by the sum of their Peer scores, divided by the sum of their Coverages. This creates a weighted average, where each prediction is counted proportionally to how long it was standing. To reduce the impact of luck, all forecasters start with a prior of 30 questions with a score of 0. Learn more here.

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43.17		Weighted Average Score
Score	Coverage	Question	Question Type
149.545	99.4%	What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
139.666	99.1%	What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025?	Continuous
135.450	98.5%	What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025?	Continuous
131.963	98.8%	What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025?	Continuous
129.341	99.1%	How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025?	Continuous
117.743	99.5%	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2)	Binary
109.442	98.2%	Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025?	Binary
108.923	99.5%	Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
106.824	99.5%	What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
103.547	99.7%	How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025?	Continuous
101.588	98.6%	What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025?	Continuous
94.319	99.8%	What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
89.408	98.2%	What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025?	Continuous
87.288	99.7%	Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025?	Binary
86.079	99.1%	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Apr 14 - Apr 25)	Binary
85.852	98.8%	How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
82.040	98.4%	What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter?	Continuous
81.663	99.9%	On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN)	Continuous
77.990	98.2%	What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025?	Continuous
76.763	99.3%	What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025?	Continuous
73.518	97.6%	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 2)	Continuous
72.680	99.3%	How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025?	Continuous
72.110	99.3%	What will the number of active US drilling rigs be on March 28, 2025?	Multiple Choice
69.465	98.9%	What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025?	Continuous
69.320	99.8%	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights)	Continuous
68.019	99.6%	Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025?	Binary
67.216	98.7%	How many subscribers will the MrBeast YouTube channel have on March 30, 2025?	Multiple Choice
66.435	94.3%	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
64.579	99.3%	How many parties will be in the next German parliament?	Multiple Choice
63.788	99.2%	What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament?	Multiple Choice
62.233	99.6%	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apri 21 - May 2)	Binary
61.936	99.2%	What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025?	Continuous
61.868	98.6%	What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025?	Multiple Choice
61.855	99.9%	On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD)	Continuous
59.090	99.1%	What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)?	Continuous
54.669	79.9%	What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit?	Multiple Choice
53.728	99.6%	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey)	Continuous
52.260	98.5%	Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from?	Multiple Choice
50.180	99.8%	Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025?	Binary
49.120	92.7%	What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
46.650	89.4%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025)	Binary
44.846	99.3%	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World)	Continuous
44.758	99.3%	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
42.177	98.4%	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
41.133	96.2%	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Feb 24, 2025 to Mar 2, 2025)	Continuous
40.073	89.4%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025)	Binary
39.951	97.5%	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 9, 2025)	Continuous
35.816	41.9%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
35.365	99.3%	How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week?	Multiple Choice
35.316	98.1%	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025)	Continuous
34.728	41.9%	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
34.593	99.3%	Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025?	Binary
34.521	98.4%	What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025?	Continuous
30.233	97.3%	Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025?	Binary
29.744	98.1%	Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025?	Binary
29.729	99.7%	Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025?	Binary
29.639	75.8%	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin)	Continuous
28.486	98.5%	What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units?	Continuous
27.138	99.3%	What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025?	Continuous
26.244	74.1%	Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025?	Binary
26.124	98.4%	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
24.391	88.4%	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
23.440	98.4%	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
21.674	75.8%	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue)	Continuous
21.091	75.8%	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses)	Continuous
20.647	97.2%	Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%?	Binary
20.058	70.1%	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR)	Binary
19.136	70.1%	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD)	Binary
18.152	76.0%	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
18.119	99.5%	Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place?	Binary
18.072	47.7%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 16 - June 20)	Continuous
17.894	70.1%	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES)	Binary
17.296	96.7%	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
15.916	99.7%	Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada?	Multiple Choice
15.874	88.4%	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
15.354	95.7%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (July 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
15.324	89.4%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025)	Binary
14.702	62.9%	Who will win the Tour de France 2025?	Multiple Choice
14.599	98.6%	By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup?	Multiple Choice
14.297	89.4%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025)	Binary
14.026	76.0%	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
13.447	47.7%	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27)	Binary
12.940	68.2%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, June 2025)	Binary
12.896	96.6%	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
12.771	47.7%	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27)	Binary
12.458	47.7%	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 27)	Continuous
11.921	99.1%	Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? (No) → What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025?	Continuous
11.722	18.0%	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services))	Binary
11.210	68.2%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, June 2025)	Binary
10.421	88.4%	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
9.987	42.1%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 2 - June 6)	Continuous
9.313	16.2%	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence))	Binary
9.119	68.2%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, June 2025)	Binary
8.963	68.2%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, June 2025)	Binary
8.079	37.4%	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD)	Continuous
7.828	41.9%	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
7.100	42.1%	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 13)	Continuous
7.063	24.1%	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
6.980	37.4%	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD)	Continuous
5.729	41.9%	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
5.547	33.4%	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
4.890	95.7%	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
4.504	15.0%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 19 - May 23)	Continuous
3.905	15.0%	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 30)	Continuous
3.580	42.1%	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13)	Binary
3.070	15.0%	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 19 - May 30)	Binary
2.922	11.8%	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
1.895	41.9%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
1.491	11.8%	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
1.405	47.7%	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 16 - Jun 27)	Binary
1.336	42.1%	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13)	Binary
1.327	15.0%	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30)	Binary
1.309	15.0%	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30)	Binary
1.094	95.7%	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
1.077	9.8%	Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025?	Binary
0.625	16.7%	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
-0.296	41.9%	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
-0.439	42.1%	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 2 - Jun 13)	Binary
-1.293	24.1%	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
-2.574	95.7%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
-3.215	95.7%	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
-4.024	8.0%	Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025?	Binary
-4.788	95.7%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
-6.342	97.7%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (Apr 21 - Apr 25)	Continuous
-6.519	78.1%	Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025?	Binary
-6.675	41.9%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
-8.197	16.7%	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
-8.493	41.9%	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
-9.823	95.8%	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
-11.837	70.9%	Will Norway announce the replacement design for the Fridtjof Nansen-class before September 2025?	Binary
-18.711	33.4%	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
-27.742	26.0%	Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026?	Binary
-28.327	95.8%	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
-49.837	42.4%	Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?	Binary
-179.883	94.0%	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print))	Binary