The Sagan Space Tournament

By AlexL on Dec. 6, 2022, 10 p.m. GMT

What will be some of the near-term milestones in spaceflight and space exploration?

Read more…

Metaculus Talks on Topics in Forecasting

By christian on Dec. 4, 2022, 5:47 p.m. GMT

As part of our ongoing celebration of achieving 1 million predictions on Metaculus, we’re hosting a series of talks this week on topics of forecasting and data science.

Read more…

The Million Predictions Hackathon

By christian on Nov. 10, 2022, 7:50 p.m. GMT

Metaculus recently achieved a big milestone: 1,000,000 predictions on over 7,000 questions!

Read more…

Metaculus and Good Judgment Inc Launch First Collaboration

By christian on Oct. 28, 2022, 12:09 a.m. GMT

Good Judgment Inc and Metaculus are pleased to announce our first collaboration.

Read more…

Announcing FluSight Challenge 2022/23

By christian on Oct. 24, 2022, 3:18 p.m. GMT

The FluSight Challenge 2022/23 is Metaculus’s second annual tournament contributing forecasts to the yearly FluSight forecasting efforts of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).

Read more…

Announcing the Red Lines in Ukraine Project

By christian on Oct. 21, 2022, 10:08 p.m. GMT

We've created the Red Lines in Ukraine Project, a new forecasting collaboration with nuclear security expert Peter Scoblic that is designed to provide an early warning indicator of potential Russian nuclear use.

Read more…

Welcoming New Members of the Metaculus Leadership Team

By christian on Oct. 19, 2022, 11:31 p.m. GMT

We are very excited to introduce four new members of the Metaculus leadership team!

Read more…

Metaculus Launches the 'Forecasting Our World In Data' Project to Probe the Long-Term Future

By christian on Oct. 12, 2022, 4:57 p.m. GMT

With support from the FTX Future Fund, the project features a public forecasting tournament and a Pro Forecaster initiative delivering 1, 3, 10, 30, and 100-year predictions

Today, Metaculus is launching Forecasting Our World In Data, a tournament that will deliver predictions on technological advancement, global development, and social progress on time horizons ranging from one to 100 years, with close collaboration from the Our World In Data (OWID) team.

Read more…

Announcing the Transparent Replications Project

By christian on Oct. 3, 2022, 9:12 p.m. GMT

Clearer Thinking has launched Transparent Replications, a project supporting greater reproducibility in psychological science by performing replications of new studies from prestigious journals and forecasting the results.

Read more…

Older posts Newer posts