23 comments
297 forecasters
Will Russia formally declare war with Ukraine before August 1, 2022?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Authors:
Opened:May 7, 2022
Closes:Jul 31, 2022
Resolved:Aug 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:May 7, 2022
Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?
2% chance
195
Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
14% chance
101
When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?
59 forecasters